Juan Pablo II College v Alianza Lima Prediction & Expected Goals (6 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultAlianza Lima to win ✗63% · @1.73

Double chanceAlianza Lima or draw ✓88% · @1.18

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.75

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.19

Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Lima: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 6 September the Primera División brings Juan Pablo II College against Alianza Lima at Estadio Complejo Juan Pablo II. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT. In the table, Juan Pablo II College are 9th, upper half, on 25 points after 16 matches; Alianza Lima are 6th (upper half) with 29.

Current form

Juan Pablo II College, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Club Deportivo Los Chankas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Alianza Lima, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Deportivo Garcilaso, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Mar 2026) it ended Alianza Lima 2–0 Juan Pablo II College.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Juan Pablo II College 0.8 xG, Alianza Lima 2.1 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 55% for GG.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Juan Pablo II College 12%, draw 25%, Alianza Lima 63%.
Lower-risk option: Alianza Lima or draw (88%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Alianza Lima to win (63%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.58, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Juan Pablo II College 0–2 Alianza Lima. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Juan Pablo II College12%fair 8.41 · @4.50

Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.40

Alianza Lima63%fair 1.58 · @1.73

2.92Expected goals

0.85Juan Pablo II College xG

2.07Alianza Lima xG

55%Both score

56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–212%

0–111%

1–210%

1–19%

0–38%

1–37%

From our goals model: Juan Pablo II College 0.8 – 2.1 Alianza Lima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Alianza Lima to win ✗	63%	1.58	1.73 ▲
Double chance	Alianza Lima or draw ✓	88%	1.13	1.18
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	55%	1.81	1.75
Draw no bet	Alianza Lima (draw no bet)	84%	1.19	–
Asian handicap	Alianza Lima -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	66%	1.52	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	79%	1.27	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	56%	1.79	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	67%	1.50	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	83%	1.21	–
First team to score	Alianza Lima to score first	67%	1.49	–
Half-time result	Alianza Lima ahead at half-time ✗	47%	2.11	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Alianza Lima / FT Alianza Lima ✗	43%	2.35	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	10%	10.19	–

Juan Pablo II College – last 6

WWLDLW

29 Aug	@ Club Deportivo Los Chankas	4–3	W
22 Aug	vs ADT	5–1	W
15 Aug	@ Cusco	0–2	L
8 Aug	vs Atletico Grau	0–0	D
2 Aug	@ Sporting Cristal	0–2	L
25 Jul	vs Cienciano	2–0	W

1.8Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Alianza Lima – last 6

LDWDWD

30 Aug	vs Deportivo Garcilaso	0–1	L
23 Aug	@ FBC Melgar	1–1	D
16 Aug	vs UTC Cajamarca	1–0	W
9 Aug	@ Sport Boys	1–1	D
2 Aug	vs Alianza Atletico	3–1	W
26 Jul	@ Comerciantes Unidos	2–2	D

1.3Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

67%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	33	20	9	4	+30	69
2	Universitario	33	17	10	6	+20	61
3	FBC Melgar	33	16	9	8	+18	57
4	Deportivo Garcilaso	33	16	7	10	+15	55
5	Sporting Cristal	33	15	6	12	+15	51
6	Cusco	33	16	3	14	-1	51
7	Cienciano	33	15	5	13	+8	50
8	Sport Huancayo	33	15	5	13	-1	50
9	Alianza Atletico	33	14	7	12	+1	49
10	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	33	13	9	11	-12	48
11	Sport Boys	33	12	10	11	+2	46
12	Juan Pablo II College	33	11	8	14	-11	41
13	Comerciantes Unidos	33	8	13	12	-3	37
14	Atletico Grau	33	10	7	16	-9	37
15	ADT	33	7	11	15	-12	32
16	FC Cajamarca	33	8	7	18	-19	31
17	UCV Moquegua	33	7	9	17	-21	30
18	UTC Cajamarca	33	5	9	19	-20	19

Team

Pts

+30

+20

+18

+15

+15

-1

-1

Club Deportivo Los Chankas

-12

Sport Boys

Juan Pablo II College

-11

-3

-9

-12

-19

-21

-20

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Lima?

Our pick is Alianza Lima to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Lima?

On our numbers Juan Pablo II College have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Alianza Lima 63%.

How many goals will there be in Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Lima?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Lima?

Our predicted score is Juan Pablo II College 0–2 Alianza Lima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Lima?

Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Lima (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Complejo Juan Pablo II.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Juan Pablo II College v Alianza Lima: numbers & prediction