Deportivo Garcilaso v Atletico Grau Prediction & Expected Goals (6 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultDeportivo Garcilaso to win ✓66% · @1.62

Double chanceDeportivo Garcilaso or draw ✓89% · @1.12

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.80

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.69

Deportivo Garcilaso vs Atletico Grau: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Atletico Grau travel to face Deportivo Garcilaso on Sunday 6 September in the Primera División, with Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, Deportivo Garcilaso are 4th, among the top four, on 29 points after 16 matches; Atletico Grau are 11th (lower half) with 21.

Current form

Deportivo Garcilaso, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Alianza Lima, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Atletico Grau, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over FBC Melgar, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Deportivo Garcilaso, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.8 for Atletico Grau.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Garcilaso 1.5 xG, Atletico Grau 0.4 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Garcilaso 66%, draw 22%, Atletico Grau 11%.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Deportivo Garcilaso to win (66%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.51, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Garcilaso 1–0 Atletico Grau. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deportivo Garcilaso66%fair 1.51 · @1.62

Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.50

Atletico Grau11%fair 8.78 · @5.50

1.98Expected goals

1.54Deportivo Garcilaso xG

0.44Atletico Grau xG

46%Both score

32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–021%

2–016%

0–014%

1–19%

3–08%

2–17%

From our goals model: Deportivo Garcilaso 1.5 – 0.4 Atletico Grau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Deportivo Garcilaso to win ✓	66%	1.51	1.62 ▲
Double chance	Deportivo Garcilaso or draw ✓	89%	1.13	1.12
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✗	54%	1.84	1.80
Draw no bet	Deportivo Garcilaso (draw no bet) ✓	85%	1.17	–
Asian handicap	Deportivo Garcilaso -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	65%	1.54	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	59%	1.70	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	68%	1.47	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	86%	1.16	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	95%	1.05	–
First team to score	Deportivo Garcilaso to score first ✓	67%	1.49	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	47%	2.11	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Deportivo Garcilaso / FT Deportivo Garcilaso ✓	40%	2.50	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	21%	4.69	–

Deportivo Garcilaso – last 6

WWDWWW

30 Aug	@ Alianza Lima	1–0	W
23 Aug	vs Cusco	4–1	W
17 Aug	@ Cienciano	0–0	D
9 Aug	vs UCV Moquegua	2–0	W
2 Aug	@ ADT	1–0	W
27 Jul	vs FC Cajamarca	2–1	W

1.7Scored / game

0.3Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Atletico Grau – last 6

WDWWDL

1 Sep	vs FBC Melgar	1–0	W
26 Aug	vs Sport Boys	2–2	D
21 Aug	@ FC Cajamarca	3–1	W
14 Aug	vs Comerciantes Unidos	1–0	W
8 Aug	@ Juan Pablo II College	0–0	D
1 Aug	vs Sport Boys	0–1	L

1.2Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	33	20	9	4	+30	69
2	Universitario	33	17	10	6	+20	61
3	FBC Melgar	33	16	9	8	+18	57
4	Deportivo Garcilaso	33	16	7	10	+15	55
5	Sporting Cristal	33	15	6	12	+15	51
6	Cusco	33	16	3	14	-1	51
7	Cienciano	33	15	5	13	+8	50
8	Sport Huancayo	33	15	5	13	-1	50
9	Alianza Atletico	33	14	7	12	+1	49
10	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	33	13	9	11	-12	48
11	Sport Boys	33	12	10	11	+2	46
12	Juan Pablo II College	33	11	8	14	-11	41
13	Comerciantes Unidos	33	8	13	12	-3	37
14	Atletico Grau	33	10	7	16	-9	37
15	ADT	33	7	11	15	-12	32
16	FC Cajamarca	33	8	7	18	-19	31
17	UCV Moquegua	33	7	9	17	-21	30
18	UTC Cajamarca	33	5	9	19	-20	19

Team

Pts

+30

+20

+18

+15

+15

-1

-1

Club Deportivo Los Chankas

-12

Sport Boys

Juan Pablo II College

-11

-3

-9

-12

-19

-21

-20

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Atletico Grau?

Our pick is Deportivo Garcilaso to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Deportivo Garcilaso vs Atletico Grau?

On our numbers Deportivo Garcilaso have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Atletico Grau 11%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo Garcilaso vs Atletico Grau?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Atletico Grau?

Our predicted score is Deportivo Garcilaso 1–0 Atletico Grau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Deportivo Garcilaso vs Atletico Grau?

Deportivo Garcilaso vs Atletico Grau (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Deportivo Garcilaso v Atletico Grau: numbers & prediction