Deportivo Garcilaso v Universitario Prediction & Expected Goals (20 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultUniversitario to win ✗42% · @2.50

Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.83

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.83

Deportivo Garcilaso vs Universitario: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Universitario travel to face Deportivo Garcilaso on Sunday 20 September in the Primera División, with Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT. In the table, Deportivo Garcilaso are 4th, among the top four, on 29 points after 16 matches; Universitario are 3rd (among the top four) with 32. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Deportivo Garcilaso, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sport Boys, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Universitario, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Alianza Lima, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.

Head to head

When they last met (23 Apr 2026) it ended Universitario 4–1 Deportivo Garcilaso.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Garcilaso 1.2 xG, Universitario 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Garcilaso 34%, draw 24%, Universitario 42%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 1.83). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Garcilaso 1–1 Universitario. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deportivo Garcilaso34%fair 2.94 · @2.75

Draw24%fair 4.09 · @2.90

Universitario42%fair 2.41 · @2.50

2.48Expected goals

1.16Deportivo Garcilaso xG

1.32Universitario xG

53%Both score

45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

0–111%

1–010%

1–28%

0–08%

2–17%

From our goals model: Deportivo Garcilaso 1.2 – 1.3 Universitario expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Universitario to win ✗	42%	2.41	2.50
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	76%	1.32	1.36
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	53%	1.87	1.83
Draw no bet	Universitario (draw no bet) ✗	55%	1.82	–
Asian handicap	Deportivo Garcilaso +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	77%	1.31	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	71%	1.41	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	55%	1.82	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	76%	1.31	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	89%	1.12	–
First team to score	Universitario to score first ✗	49%	2.05	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	44%	2.26	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Universitario / FT Universitario ✗	23%	4.29	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	8%	11.83	–

Deportivo Garcilaso – last 6

LWWWDW

13 Sep	@ Sport Boys	0–1	L
6 Sep	vs Atletico Grau	4–2	W
30 Aug	@ Alianza Lima	1–0	W
23 Aug	vs Cusco	4–1	W
17 Aug	@ Cienciano	0–0	D
9 Aug	vs UCV Moquegua	2–0	W

1.8Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Universitario – last 6

WDWWWD

13 Sep	@ Alianza Lima	2–1	W
6 Sep	vs Comerciantes Unidos	2–2	D
29 Aug	@ UTC Cajamarca	4–2	W
24 Aug	vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas	3–0	W
16 Aug	@ FC Cajamarca	3–2	W
8 Aug	vs Sporting Cristal	1–1	D

2.5Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

83%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	33	20	9	4	+30	69
2	Universitario	33	17	10	6	+20	61
3	FBC Melgar	33	16	9	8	+18	57
4	Deportivo Garcilaso	33	16	7	10	+15	55
5	Sporting Cristal	33	15	6	12	+15	51
6	Cusco	33	16	3	14	-1	51
7	Cienciano	33	15	5	13	+8	50
8	Sport Huancayo	33	15	5	13	-1	50
9	Alianza Atletico	33	14	7	12	+1	49
10	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	33	13	9	11	-12	48
11	Sport Boys	33	12	10	11	+2	46
12	Juan Pablo II College	33	11	8	14	-11	41
13	Comerciantes Unidos	33	8	13	12	-3	37
14	Atletico Grau	33	10	7	16	-9	37
15	ADT	33	7	11	15	-12	32
16	FC Cajamarca	33	8	7	18	-19	31
17	UCV Moquegua	33	7	9	17	-21	30
18	UTC Cajamarca	33	5	9	19	-20	19

Team

Pts

+30

+20

+18

+15

+15

-1

-1

Club Deportivo Los Chankas

-12

Sport Boys

Juan Pablo II College

-11

-3

-9

-12

-19

-21

-20

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Universitario?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.

Who will win Deportivo Garcilaso vs Universitario?

On our numbers Deportivo Garcilaso have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Universitario 42%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo Garcilaso vs Universitario?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Universitario?

Our predicted score is Deportivo Garcilaso 1–1 Universitario, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Deportivo Garcilaso vs Universitario?

Deportivo Garcilaso vs Universitario (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Deportivo Garcilaso v Universitario: numbers & prediction