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Juan Pablo II College v UCV Moquegua: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Peru · Estadio Complejo Juan Pablo II
Juan Pablo II College 63%Draw 23%UCV Moquegua 15% Expected goals 2.02 – 0.88
63%
Betarazi pick

Juan Pablo II College to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.67Odds

Picks by market

ResultJuan Pablo II College to win ✓63% · @1.67
Double chanceJuan Pablo II College or draw ✓85% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.12

Juan Pablo II College vs UCV Moquegua: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Juan Pablo II College welcome UCV Moquegua to Estadio Complejo Juan Pablo II for a Primera División fixture on Sunday 20 September (21:30 WAT). In the table, Juan Pablo II College are 9th, upper half, on 25 points after 16 matches; UCV Moquegua are 17th (in the drop zone) with 12. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Juan Pablo II College, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over UTC Cajamarca, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

UCV Moquegua, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Sporting Cristal, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Juan Pablo II College, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for UCV Moquegua.

Head to head

When they last met (14 Apr 2026) it ended UCV Moquegua 3–0 Juan Pablo II College.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Juan Pablo II College 2.0 xG, UCV Moquegua 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Juan Pablo II College 63%, draw 23%, UCV Moquegua 15%.
  • Lower-risk option: Juan Pablo II College or draw (85%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Juan Pablo II College to win (63%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.60, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Juan Pablo II College 2–0 UCV Moquegua. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Juan Pablo II College63%fair 1.60 · @1.67
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.50
UCV Moquegua15%fair 6.84 · @4.80
2.90Expected goals
2.02Juan Pablo II College xG
0.88UCV Moquegua xG
58%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Juan Pablo II College 2.0 – 0.9 UCV Moquegua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultJuan Pablo II College to win ✓63%1.601.67
Double chanceJuan Pablo II College or draw ✓85%1.171.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.731.80
Draw no betJuan Pablo II College (draw no bet) ✓81%1.23–
Asian handicapJuan Pablo II College -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.80–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗67%1.49–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.20–
First team to scoreJuan Pablo II College to score first ✓66%1.52–
Half-time resultJuan Pablo II College ahead at half-time ✓46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Juan Pablo II College / FT Juan Pablo II College ✓41%2.45–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.12–

Recent results

Juan Pablo II College – last 6

WDWWLD
11 Sep@ UTC Cajamarca2–1W
6 Sepvs Alianza Lima1–1D
29 Aug@ Club Deportivo Los Chankas4–3W
22 Augvs ADT5–1W
15 Aug@ Cusco0–2L
8 Augvs Atletico Grau0–0D
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

UCV Moquegua – last 6

LLLLWD
13 Sepvs Sporting Cristal1–2L
6 Sep@ Cusco0–2L
30 Augvs Alianza Atletico1–4L
27 Aug@ ADT0–2L
22 Aug@ Sport Huancayo2–0W
16 Augvs Sport Boys1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 Apr 2026UCV Moquegua v Juan Pablo II College3–0
Juan Pablo II College vs UCV Moquegua head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Alianza Lima332094+3069
2Universitario3317106+2061
3FBC Melgar331698+1857
4Deportivo Garcilaso3316710+1555
5Sporting Cristal3315612+1551
6Cusco3316314-151
7Cienciano3315513+850
8Sport Huancayo3315513-150
9Alianza Atletico3314712+149
10Club Deportivo Los Chankas3313911-1248
11Sport Boys33121011+246
12Juan Pablo II College3311814-1141
13Comerciantes Unidos3381312-337
14Atletico Grau3310716-937
15ADT3371115-1232
16FC Cajamarca338718-1931
17UCV Moquegua337917-2130
18UTC Cajamarca335919-2019

More Primera División predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Juan Pablo II College vs UCV Moquegua?

Our pick is Juan Pablo II College to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Juan Pablo II College vs UCV Moquegua?

On our numbers Juan Pablo II College have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and UCV Moquegua 15%.

How many goals will there be in Juan Pablo II College vs UCV Moquegua?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Juan Pablo II College vs UCV Moquegua?

Our predicted score is Juan Pablo II College 2–0 UCV Moquegua, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Juan Pablo II College vs UCV Moquegua?

Juan Pablo II College vs UCV Moquegua (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Complejo Juan Pablo II.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.