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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

FBC Melgar v Sport Boys: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Peru · Estadio Monumental de la UNSA
1–1
FT
FBC Melgar 70%Draw 18%Sport Boys 12% Expected goals 1.85 – 0.55
70%
Betarazi pick

FBC Melgar to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultFBC Melgar to win ✗70% · @1.40
Double chanceFBC Melgar or draw ✓88% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.70

FBC Melgar vs Sport Boys: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

FBC Melgar welcome Sport Boys to Estadio Monumental de la UNSA for a Primera División fixture on Sunday 20 September (02:15 WAT). In the table, FBC Melgar are 5th, upper half, on 29 points after 16 matches; Sport Boys are 8th (upper half) with 26. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

FBC Melgar, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Cusco, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Sport Boys, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Deportivo Garcilaso, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Apr 2026) it ended Sport Boys 1–3 FBC Melgar.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FBC Melgar 1.8 xG, Sport Boys 0.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FBC Melgar 70%, draw 18%, Sport Boys 12%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.91.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was FBC Melgar to win (70%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: FBC Melgar 1–0 Sport Boys. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FBC Melgar70%fair 1.43 · @1.40
Draw18%fair 5.41 · @4.00
Sport Boys12%fair 8.68 · @7.50
2.40Expected goals
1.85FBC Melgar xG
0.55Sport Boys xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
2–016%
3–010%
1–19%
0–09%
2–19%

From our goals model: FBC Melgar 1.8 – 0.6 Sport Boys expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFBC Melgar to win ✗70%1.431.40
Double chanceFBC Melgar or draw ✓88%1.131.08
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.951.91
Draw no betFBC Melgar (draw no bet)86%1.16–
Asian handicapFBC Melgar -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.76–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreFBC Melgar to score first70%1.43–
Half-time resultFBC Melgar ahead at half-time ✗48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT FBC Melgar / FT FBC Melgar ✗44%2.28–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.70–

Recent results

FBC Melgar – last 6

WWLDWL
12 Sep@ Cusco1–0W
7 Sepvs ADT3–0W
1 Sep@ Atletico Grau0–1L
23 Augvs Alianza Lima1–1D
15 Aug@ Club Deportivo Los Chankas3–0W
9 Augvs FC Cajamarca2–4L
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Sport Boys – last 6

WLWDWD
13 Sepvs Deportivo Garcilaso1–0W
5 Sep@ Sport Huancayo1–2L
30 Augvs Sporting Cristal1–0W
26 Aug@ Atletico Grau2–2D
23 Augvs Cienciano5–1W
16 Aug@ UCV Moquegua1–1D
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Apr 2026Sport Boys v FBC Melgar1–3
FBC Melgar vs Sport Boys head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Alianza Lima332094+3069
2Universitario3317106+2061
3FBC Melgar331698+1857
4Deportivo Garcilaso3316710+1555
5Sporting Cristal3315612+1551
6Cusco3316314-151
7Cienciano3315513+850
8Sport Huancayo3315513-150
9Alianza Atletico3314712+149
10Club Deportivo Los Chankas3313911-1248
11Sport Boys33121011+246
12Juan Pablo II College3311814-1141
13Comerciantes Unidos3381312-337
14Atletico Grau3310716-937
15ADT3371115-1232
16FC Cajamarca338718-1931
17UCV Moquegua337917-2130
18UTC Cajamarca335919-2019

More Primera División predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FBC Melgar vs Sport Boys?

Our pick is FBC Melgar to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win FBC Melgar vs Sport Boys?

On our numbers FBC Melgar have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Sport Boys 12%.

How many goals will there be in FBC Melgar vs Sport Boys?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FBC Melgar vs Sport Boys?

Our predicted score is FBC Melgar 1–0 Sport Boys, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is FBC Melgar vs Sport Boys?

FBC Melgar vs Sport Boys (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 02:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Monumental de la UNSA.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.