Real Cartagena vs Bogota FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 20 August the Primera B brings Real Cartagena against Bogota FC. Kick-off: 23:45 WAT. In the table, Real Cartagena are 3rd, among the top four, on 4 points after 3 matches; Bogota FC are 10th (in the drop zone) with 18. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Real Cartagena, last 5: LDDWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Ind. Yumbo, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Bogota FC, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Leones FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (18 May 2026) it ended Bogota FC 1–2 Real Cartagena. The last 2 head-to-heads: Real Cartagena 2 wins, Bogota FC 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Cartagena 1.8 xG, Bogota FC 0.6 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Cartagena 65%, draw 24%, Bogota FC 12%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.93.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Cartagena 1–0 Bogota FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Cartagena65%fair 1.55 · @1.48
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.90
Bogota FC12%fair 8.49 · @6.00
2.46Expected goals
1.81Real Cartagena xG
0.65Bogota FC xG
52%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Real Cartagena 1.8 – 0.6 Bogota FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Real Cartagena vs Bogota FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Real Cartagena vs Bogota FC?
On our numbers Real Cartagena have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Bogota FC 12%.
How many goals will there be in Real Cartagena vs Bogota FC?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Cartagena vs Bogota FC?
Our predicted score is Real Cartagena 1–0 Bogota FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Real Cartagena vs Bogota FC?
Real Cartagena vs Bogota FC (Primera B) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 23:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
