Leones FC 36%Draw 24%Real Cundinamarca 40%Expected goals 1.02 – 1.10
64%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultReal Cundinamarca to win ✗40% · @2.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.46
Leones FC vs Real Cundinamarca: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Real Cundinamarca travel to face Leones FC on Thursday 20 August in the Primera B, with Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui the venue – the ball rolls at 23:00 WAT. In the table, Leones FC are 16th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 15 matches; Real Cundinamarca are 4th (among the top four) with 1. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Leones FC, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Bogota FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Real Cundinamarca, last 5: WDLDL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Popayan, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Leones FC, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Real Cundinamarca.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leones FC 1.0 xG, Real Cundinamarca 1.1 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leones FC 36%, draw 24%, Real Cundinamarca 40%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leones FC 1–1 Real Cundinamarca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leones FC36%fair 2.81 · @3.00
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @2.95
Real Cundinamarca40%fair 2.49 · @2.33
2.12Expected goals
1.02Leones FC xG
1.10Real Cundinamarca xG
51%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–012%
1–27%
0–27%
From our goals model: Leones FC 1.0 – 1.1 Real Cundinamarca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Cundinamarca to win✗
40%
2.49
2.33
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Real Cundinamarca (draw no bet)
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
Leones FC +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
First team to score
Real Cundinamarca to score first✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Cundinamarca / FT Real Cundinamarca✗
21%
4.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
13.46
–
Recent results
Leones FC – last 6
WDWDWL
6 Aug
@ Bogota FC
1–0
W
3 Aug
vs Quindio
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ Tigres FC
1–0
W
30 May
vs Independiente Medellin
1–1
D
12 May
vs Orsomarso
2–0
W
8 May
@ Fortaleza FC
1–4
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Real Cundinamarca – last 6
WDLDLW
6 Aug
vs Popayan
3–1
W
2 Aug
vs Real Cartagena
1–1
D
27 Jul
@ Envigado
0–1
L
26 May
vs Águilas Doradas
2–2
D
17 May
@ Deportivo Pereira
0–1
L
13 May
vs Ind. Yumbo
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leones FC and Real Cundinamarca.
What is the prediction for Leones FC vs Real Cundinamarca?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Leones FC vs Real Cundinamarca?
On our numbers Leones FC have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Real Cundinamarca 40%.
How many goals will there be in Leones FC vs Real Cundinamarca?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leones FC vs Real Cundinamarca?
Our predicted score is Leones FC 1–1 Real Cundinamarca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Leones FC vs Real Cundinamarca?
Leones FC vs Real Cundinamarca (Primera B) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
