Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultPatriotas to win ✗64% · @1.64
Double chancePatriotas or draw ✓86% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.64
Patriotas vs Orsomarso: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Patriotas welcome Orsomarso to Estadio La Independencia for a Primera B fixture on Thursday 20 August (02:10 WAT). In the table, Patriotas are 12th, lower half, on 18 points after 15 matches; Orsomarso are 13th (lower half) with 17. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Patriotas, last 5: DWLLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Real Santander, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Orsomarso, last 5: DWDDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Union Magdalena, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Patriotas 1.6 xG, Orsomarso 0.6 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Patriotas 64%, draw 22%, Orsomarso 14%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Patriotas 1–0 Orsomarso. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Patriotas64%fair 1.56 · @1.64
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.60
Orsomarso14%fair 7.11 · @4.80
2.22Expected goals
1.64Patriotas xG
0.59Orsomarso xG
48%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
2–015%
0–011%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Patriotas 1.6 – 0.6 Orsomarso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Patriotas to win✗
64%
1.56
1.64 ▲
Double chance
Patriotas or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
1.65
Draw no bet
Patriotas (draw no bet)
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Patriotas -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Patriotas to score first✓
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Patriotas / FT Patriotas✗
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.64
–
Recent results
Patriotas – last 6
DWLLDD
31 Jul
@ Real Santander
2–2
D
26 Jul
vs Internacional Palmira
3–1
W
20 May
@ Llaneros
1–3
L
16 May
vs Millonarios
2–3
L
11 May
@ Depor FC
1–1
D
7 May
vs Chico
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Orsomarso – last 6
DWDDLL
1 Aug
@ Union Magdalena
0–0
D
26 Jul
vs Barranquilla
1–0
W
20 May
@ Fortaleza FC
1–1
D
16 May
vs Independiente Medellin
1–1
D
12 May
@ Leones FC
0–2
L
13 Apr
@ Bogota FC
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Patriotas and Orsomarso.
What is the prediction for Patriotas vs Orsomarso?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Patriotas vs Orsomarso?
On our numbers Patriotas have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Orsomarso 14%.
How many goals will there be in Patriotas vs Orsomarso?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Patriotas vs Orsomarso?
Our predicted score is Patriotas 1–0 Orsomarso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Patriotas vs Orsomarso?
Patriotas vs Orsomarso (Primera B) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 02:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Independencia.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
