Value bet: Real Cartagena to win @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultReal Cartagena to win ✓55% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.88
Leones FC vs Real Cartagena: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 24 August the Primera B brings Leones FC against Real Cartagena at Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui. Kick-off: 23:00 WAT. In the table, Leones FC are 16th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 15 matches; Real Cartagena are 3rd (among the top four) with 4.
Current form
Leones FC, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Real Cundinamarca, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Real Cartagena, last 5: WLDDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Bogota FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Leones FC, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Real Cartagena.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Feb 2026) it ended Real Cartagena 2–3 Leones FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leones FC 0.8 xG, Real Cartagena 1.5 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leones FC 23%, draw 22%, Real Cartagena 55%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Real Cartagena to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leones FC 0–1 Real Cartagena. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leones FC23%fair 4.43 · @3.70
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.10
Real Cartagena55%fair 1.82 · @1.95
2.37Expected goals
0.85Leones FC xG
1.53Real Cartagena xG
56%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–112%
0–211%
0–09%
1–29%
1–08%
From our goals model: Leones FC 0.8 – 1.5 Real Cartagena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Leones FC vs Real Cartagena?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Leones FC vs Real Cartagena?
On our numbers Leones FC have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Real Cartagena 55%.
How many goals will there be in Leones FC vs Real Cartagena?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leones FC vs Real Cartagena?
Our predicted score is Leones FC 0–1 Real Cartagena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Leones FC vs Real Cartagena?
Leones FC vs Real Cartagena (Primera B) kicks off on Monday 24 August 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
