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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Orsomarso v Real Cundinamarca: numbers & prediction

Primera B · Colombia · Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata
2–0
FT
Orsomarso 37%Draw 25%Real Cundinamarca 38% Expected goals 1.02 – 1.04
66%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.42Odds
2

Value bet: Real Cundinamarca to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultReal Cundinamarca to win ✗38% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.51

Orsomarso vs Real Cundinamarca: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

23:00 WAT, Monday 24 August: Orsomarso v Real Cundinamarca in the Primera B, played at Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata. In the table, Orsomarso are 13th, in the drop zone, on 17 points after 15 matches; Real Cundinamarca are 4th (among the top four) with 1. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Orsomarso, last 5: DDWDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Patriotas, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Real Cundinamarca, last 5: DWDLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Leones FC, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Feb 2026) it ended Real Soacha 1–0 Orsomarso.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Orsomarso 1.0 xG, Real Cundinamarca 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Orsomarso 37%, draw 25%, Real Cundinamarca 38%.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.57.
  • Price worth noting: Real Cundinamarca to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Orsomarso 1–1 Real Cundinamarca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Orsomarso37%fair 2.70 · @2.45
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @2.90
Real Cundinamarca38%fair 2.61 · @2.90
2.05Expected goals
1.02Orsomarso xG
1.04Real Cundinamarca xG
48%Both score
34%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–114%
0–113%
1–013%
0–013%
1–27%
0–27%

From our goals model: Orsomarso 1.0 – 1.0 Real Cundinamarca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultReal Cundinamarca to win ✗38%2.612.90 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.931.57
Draw no betReal Cundinamarca (draw no bet) ✗51%1.97–
Asian handicapOrsomarso +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓61%1.651.55
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓66%1.521.42
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.06–
First team to scoreReal Cundinamarca to score first ✗44%2.27–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓49%2.03–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗21%4.72–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13%7.51–

Recent results

Orsomarso – last 6

DDWDDL
20 Aug@ Patriotas1–1D
1 Aug@ Union Magdalena0–0D
26 Julvs Barranquilla1–0W
20 May@ Fortaleza FC1–1D
16 Mayvs Independiente Medellin1–1D
12 May@ Leones FC0–2L
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Real Cundinamarca – last 6

DWDLDL
20 Aug@ Leones FC1–1D
6 Augvs Popayan3–1W
2 Augvs Real Cartagena1–1D
27 Jul@ Envigado0–1L
26 Mayvs Águilas Doradas2–2D
17 May@ Deportivo Pereira0–1L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Feb 2026Real Soacha v Orsomarso1–0
Orsomarso vs Real Cundinamarca head-to-head page →

Primera B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Envigado4219149+2171
2Quindio3920109+1370
3Real Cartagena41171410+1765
4Union Magdalena4017149+1665
5Internacional Palmira3617109+1061
6Tigres FC39131412+653
7Ind. Yumbo3412139+649
8Bogota FC36101412-644
9Real Cundinamarca33101211+142
10Popayan34101113-441
11Barranquilla36101016-440
12Patriotas309813-1035
13Orsomarso3081012-734
14Depor FC306915-1627
15Real Santander3051213-1727
16Leones FC305916-2624

More Primera B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Orsomarso vs Real Cundinamarca?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.

Who will win Orsomarso vs Real Cundinamarca?

On our numbers Orsomarso have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Real Cundinamarca 38%.

How many goals will there be in Orsomarso vs Real Cundinamarca?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Orsomarso vs Real Cundinamarca?

Our predicted score is Orsomarso 1–1 Real Cundinamarca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Orsomarso vs Real Cundinamarca?

Orsomarso vs Real Cundinamarca (Primera B) kicks off on Monday 24 August 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.