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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Quindio v Envigado: numbers & prediction

Primera B · Colombia · Estadio Centenario

Quindio

DDWLL
1–0
FT
Quindio 35%Draw 25%Envigado 40% Expected goals 0.98 – 1.09
65%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2

Value bet: Envigado to win @ 2.70 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultEnvigado to win ✗40% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.30

Quindio vs Envigado: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Envigado travel to face Quindio on Monday 24 August in the Primera B, with Estadio Centenario the venue – the ball rolls at 00:00 WAT. In the table, Quindio are 1st, leading the league, on 6 points after 3 matches; Envigado are 1st (leading the league) with 7. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Quindio, last 5: DDWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Internacional Palmira, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Envigado, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Tigres FC, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (18 May 2026) it ended Envigado 1–0 Quindio. The last 3 head-to-heads: Quindio 2 wins, Envigado 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.3 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Quindio 1.0 xG, Envigado 1.1 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Quindio 35%, draw 25%, Envigado 40%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.60.
  • Price worth noting: Envigado to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 40%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Quindio 0–1 Envigado. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Quindio35%fair 2.86 · @2.60
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @2.88
Envigado40%fair 2.47 · @2.70
2.07Expected goals
0.98Quindio xG
1.09Envigado xG
49%Both score
35%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
1–113%
0–013%
1–012%
0–27%
1–27%

From our goals model: Quindio 1.0 – 1.1 Envigado expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEnvigado to win ✗40%2.472.70 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.951.60
Draw no betEnvigado (draw no bet) ✗54%1.86–
Asian handicapQuindio +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗61%1.641.55
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓65%1.531.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.06–
First team to scoreEnvigado to score first ✗46%2.18–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓49%2.04–
Half-time / full-timeHT Envigado / FT Envigado ✗21%4.73–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14%7.30–

Recent results

Quindio – last 6

DDWLLL
8 Augvs Internacional Palmira1–1D
3 Aug@ Leones FC1–1D
29 Julvs Deportes Tolima2–1W
24 Julvs Popayan0–1L
22 Jul@ Deportes Tolima1–2L
18 May@ Envigado0–1L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Envigado – last 6

LDLWLD
19 Aug@ Tigres FC1–2L
3 Aug@ Ind. Yumbo1–1D
30 Julvs Once Caldas0–3L
27 Julvs Real Soacha1–0W
22 Jul@ Once Caldas0–3L
29 Mayvs Real Cartagena1–1D
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 May 2026Envigado v Quindio1–0
25 Apr 2026Quindio v Envigado2–1
24 Feb 2026Envigado v Quindio1–2
Quindio vs Envigado head-to-head page →

Primera B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Envigado4219149+2171
2Quindio3920109+1370
3Real Cartagena41171410+1765
4Union Magdalena4017149+1665
5Internacional Palmira3617109+1061
6Tigres FC39131412+653
7Ind. Yumbo3412139+649
8Bogota FC36101412-644
9Real Cundinamarca33101211+142
10Popayan34101113-441
11Barranquilla36101016-440
12Patriotas309813-1035
13Orsomarso3081012-734
14Depor FC306915-1627
15Real Santander3051213-1727
16Leones FC305916-2624

More Primera B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Quindio vs Envigado?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Quindio vs Envigado?

On our numbers Quindio have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Envigado 40%.

How many goals will there be in Quindio vs Envigado?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Quindio vs Envigado?

Our predicted score is Quindio 0–1 Envigado, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Quindio vs Envigado?

Quindio vs Envigado (Primera B) kicks off on Monday 24 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.