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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Internacional Palmira v Union Magdalena: numbers & prediction

Primera B · Colombia · Francisco Rivera Escobar
Internacional Palmira 42%Draw 24%Union Magdalena 33% Expected goals 1.22 – 1.04
52%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.92 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
1.85Odds
2

Value bet: Union Magdalena to win @ 3.30 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultInternacional Palmira to win ✗42% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.38

Internacional Palmira vs Union Magdalena: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

22:00 WAT, Monday 19 October: Internacional Palmira v Union Magdalena in the Primera B, played at Francisco Rivera Escobar. In the table, Internacional Palmira are 14th, in the drop zone, on 16 points after 15 matches; Union Magdalena are 3rd (among the top four) with 4. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Internacional Palmira, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Orsomarso, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Union Magdalena, last 5: DDDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ind. Yumbo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Internacional Palmira, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Union Magdalena.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Apr 2026) it ended Union Magdalena 0–2 Internacional Palmira.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Internacional Palmira 1.2 xG, Union Magdalena 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Internacional Palmira 42%, draw 24%, Union Magdalena 33%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.
  • Price worth noting: Union Magdalena to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 33%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Internacional Palmira 1–1 Union Magdalena. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Internacional Palmira42%fair 2.36 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @2.90
Union Magdalena33%fair 2.99 · @3.30
2.26Expected goals
1.22Internacional Palmira xG
1.04Union Magdalena xG
52%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: Internacional Palmira 1.2 – 1.0 Union Magdalena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultInternacional Palmira to win ✗42%2.362.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.921.85
Draw no betInternacional Palmira (draw no bet) ✗56%1.79–
Asian handicapUnion Magdalena +1 (Asian handicap) ✓77%1.29–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗66%1.52–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreInternacional Palmira to score first ✗48%2.07–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT Internacional Palmira / FT Internacional Palmira ✗23%4.35–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.38–

Recent results

Internacional Palmira – last 6

DDLWWW
16 Octvs Orsomarso1–1D
11 Oct@ Envigado1–1D
4 Oct@ Tigres FC0–1L
28 Sepvs Leones FC1–0W
22 Sep@ Ind. Yumbo1–0W
13 Sepvs Real Cartagena2–1W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Union Magdalena – last 6

DDDWDD
15 Octvs Ind. Yumbo1–1D
11 Octvs Leones FC2–2D
7 Oct@ Popayan1–1D
3 Oct@ Real Santander3–1W
30 Sepvs Real Cartagena1–1D
26 Sepvs Santa Fe1–1D
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Apr 2026Union Magdalena v Internacional Palmira0–2
Internacional Palmira vs Union Magdalena head-to-head page →

Primera B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Envigado4219149+2171
2Quindio3920109+1370
3Real Cartagena41171410+1765
4Union Magdalena4017149+1665
5Internacional Palmira3617109+1061
6Tigres FC39131412+653
7Ind. Yumbo3412139+649
8Bogota FC36101412-644
9Real Cundinamarca33101211+142
10Popayan34101113-441
11Barranquilla36101016-440
12Patriotas309813-1035
13Orsomarso3081012-734
14Depor FC306915-1627
15Real Santander3051213-1727
16Leones FC305916-2624

More Primera B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Internacional Palmira vs Union Magdalena?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Internacional Palmira vs Union Magdalena?

On our numbers Internacional Palmira have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Union Magdalena 33%.

How many goals will there be in Internacional Palmira vs Union Magdalena?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Internacional Palmira vs Union Magdalena?

Our predicted score is Internacional Palmira 1–1 Union Magdalena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Internacional Palmira vs Union Magdalena?

Internacional Palmira vs Union Magdalena (Primera B) kicks off on Monday 19 October 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Francisco Rivera Escobar.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.