Value bet: Bogota FC to win @ 3.40 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultOrsomarso to win ✗43% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.39
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.16
Orsomarso vs Bogota FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 19 October the Primera B brings Orsomarso against Bogota FC at Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata. Kick-off: 23:00 WAT. In the table, Orsomarso are 13th, lower half, on 17 points after 15 matches; Bogota FC are 10th (lower half) with 18. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Orsomarso, last 5: DWLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Internacional Palmira, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Bogota FC, last 5: DDDLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Real Cundinamarca, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Apr 2026) it ended Bogota FC 2–0 Orsomarso.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Orsomarso 1.0 xG, Bogota FC 0.8 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 72%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Orsomarso 43%, draw 25%, Bogota FC 32%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Bogota FC to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (52%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Orsomarso 1–0 Bogota FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Orsomarso43%fair 2.32 · @2.10
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @2.75
Bogota FC32%fair 3.12 · @3.40
1.84Expected goals
1.02Orsomarso xG
0.82Bogota FC xG
48%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
0–016%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Orsomarso 1.0 – 0.8 Bogota FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Orsomarso vs Bogota FC?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Orsomarso vs Bogota FC?
On our numbers Orsomarso have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Bogota FC 32%.
How many goals will there be in Orsomarso vs Bogota FC?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Orsomarso vs Bogota FC?
Our predicted score is Orsomarso 1–0 Bogota FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Orsomarso vs Bogota FC?
Orsomarso vs Bogota FC (Primera B) kicks off on Monday 19 October 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Daniel Villa Zapata.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
