Value bet: Real Santander to win @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultReal Santander to win ✓55% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.15
Real Santander vs Leones FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Monday 19 October: Real Santander v Leones FC in the Primera B, played at Estadio Villa Concha. In the table, Real Santander are 9th, lower half, on 20 points after 15 matches; Leones FC are 16th (in the drop zone) with 14.
Current form
Real Santander, last 5: DWLDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Envigado, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Leones FC, last 5: WDDLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Patriotas, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Santander 1.5 xG, Leones FC 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Santander 55%, draw 22%, Leones FC 23%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Real Santander to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Santander 1–1 Leones FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Santander55%fair 1.83 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.10
Leones FC23%fair 4.30 · @3.40
2.29Expected goals
1.47Real Santander xG
0.82Leones FC xG
56%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–112%
2–011%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Real Santander 1.5 – 0.8 Leones FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Santander to win✓
55%
1.83
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.73
Draw no bet
Real Santander (draw no bet)✓
70%
1.43
–
Asian handicap
Leones FC +1 (Asian handicap)
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Real Santander to score first✓
58%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Santander / FT Real Santander✓
31%
3.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.15
–
Recent results
Real Santander – last 6
DWLDDL
15 Oct
@ Envigado
1–1
D
9 Oct
@ Real Cundinamarca
1–0
W
3 Oct
vs Union Magdalena
1–3
L
26 Sep
@ Tigres FC
1–1
D
22 Sep
vs Orsomarso
0–0
D
13 Sep
@ Popayan
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Leones FC – last 6
WDDLLD
15 Oct
vs Patriotas
1–0
W
11 Oct
@ Union Magdalena
2–2
D
7 Oct
vs Barranquilla
1–1
D
28 Sep
@ Internacional Palmira
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Popayan
1–2
L
12 Sep
@ Envigado
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Santander and Leones FC.
What is the prediction for Real Santander vs Leones FC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Real Santander vs Leones FC?
On our numbers Real Santander have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Leones FC 23%.
How many goals will there be in Real Santander vs Leones FC?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Santander vs Leones FC?
Our predicted score is Real Santander 1–1 Leones FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Real Santander vs Leones FC?
Real Santander vs Leones FC (Primera B) kicks off on Monday 19 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Villa Concha.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
