Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Deportivo Pasto to win @ 1.91 – our chance 60% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDeportivo Pasto to win ✗60% · @1.91
Double chanceDeportivo Pasto or draw ✗83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.80
Deportivo Pasto vs Llaneros: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 23 August the Primera A brings Deportivo Pasto against Llaneros at Estadio Departamental Libertad. Kick-off: 22:05 WAT. In the table, Deportivo Pasto are 18th, in the drop zone, on 15 points after 18 matches; Llaneros are 12th (lower half) with 23.
Current form
Deportivo Pasto, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Deportivo Cali, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Llaneros, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Águilas Doradas, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Llaneros, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.5 for Deportivo Pasto.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Pasto 1.7 xG, Llaneros 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Pasto 60%, draw 22%, Llaneros 17%.
Lower-risk option: Deportivo Pasto or draw (83%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Deportivo Pasto to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Deportivo Pasto or draw (83%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Pasto 1–0 Llaneros. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo Pasto60%fair 1.67 · @1.91
Draw22%fair 4.44 · @3.00
Llaneros17%fair 5.72 · @4.20
2.40Expected goals
1.65Deportivo Pasto xG
0.75Llaneros xG
52%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Deportivo Pasto 1.7 – 0.7 Llaneros expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Pasto to win✗
60%
1.67
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Deportivo Pasto or draw✗
83%
1.21
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
1.95
Draw no bet
Deportivo Pasto (draw no bet)✗
77%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Llaneros +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Deportivo Pasto to score first✗
63%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Pasto / FT Deportivo Pasto✗
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.80
–
Recent results
Deportivo Pasto – last 6
LLLWLL
9 Aug
vs Deportivo Cali
0–2
L
5 Aug
@ Millonarios
0–2
L
1 Aug
vs Águilas Doradas
1–2
L
29 Jul
@ Bogota FC
3–0
W
25 Jul
@ Independiente Medellin
2–3
L
22 Jul
vs Bogota FC
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Llaneros – last 6
DWDWWW
19 Aug
@ Águilas Doradas
1–1
D
4 Aug
vs Fortaleza FC
3–1
W
31 Jul
@ Bucaramanga
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Deportivo Pereira
1–0
W
27 May
@ Chico
1–0
W
20 May
vs Patriotas
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Pasto and Llaneros.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Pasto vs Llaneros?
Our pick is Deportivo Pasto or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Deportivo Pasto vs Llaneros?
On our numbers Deportivo Pasto have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Llaneros 17%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Pasto vs Llaneros?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Pasto vs Llaneros?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Pasto 1–0 Llaneros, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Pasto vs Llaneros?
Deportivo Pasto vs Llaneros (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 22:05 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Departamental Libertad.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
