Value bet: Fortaleza FC to win @ 3.75 – our chance 29% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAtletico Nacional to win ✓49% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 10.87
Fortaleza FC vs Atletico Nacional: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atletico Nacional travel to face Fortaleza FC on Sunday 23 August in the Primera A, with Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Fortaleza FC are 20th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 18 matches; Atletico Nacional are 1st (leading the league) with 39. There are 27 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Fortaleza FC, last 5: WLDDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Cucuta, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Atletico Nacional, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to America de Cali, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Atletico Nacional, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Fortaleza FC.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Feb 2026) it ended Atletico Nacional 4–1 Fortaleza FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fortaleza FC 1.1 xG, Atletico Nacional 1.5 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fortaleza FC 29%, draw 23%, Atletico Nacional 49%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Fortaleza FC to win @3.75 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 29%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fortaleza FC 1–1 Atletico Nacional. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fortaleza FC29%fair 3.47 · @3.75
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.30
Atletico Nacional49%fair 2.06 · @2.00
2.57Expected goals
1.07Fortaleza FC xG
1.50Atletico Nacional xG
52%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Fortaleza FC 1.1 – 1.5 Atletico Nacional expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Fortaleza FC vs Atletico Nacional?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Fortaleza FC vs Atletico Nacional?
On our numbers Fortaleza FC have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Atletico Nacional 49%.
How many goals will there be in Fortaleza FC vs Atletico Nacional?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fortaleza FC vs Atletico Nacional?
Our predicted score is Fortaleza FC 1–1 Atletico Nacional, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Fortaleza FC vs Atletico Nacional?
Fortaleza FC vs Atletico Nacional (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
