Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.30Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 56% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultIndependiente Medellin to win ✗66% · @1.30
Double chanceIndependiente Medellin or draw ✗83% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.15
Independiente Medellin vs Cucuta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Independiente Medellin welcome Cucuta to Estadio Atanasio Girardot for a Primera A fixture on Sunday 23 August (02:15 WAT). In the table, Independiente Medellin are 6th, upper half, on 29 points after 18 matches; Cucuta are 11th (lower half) with 24.
Current form
Independiente Medellin, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Deportes Tolima, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Cucuta, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Internacional de Bogota, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Independiente Medellin, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.5 for Cucuta.
Head to head
When they last met (2 Jun 2026) it ended Independiente Medellin 2–1 Cucuta.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Independiente Medellin 2.0 xG, Cucuta 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Independiente Medellin 66%, draw 17%, Cucuta 17%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Independiente Medellin to win (66%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Independiente Medellin 2–0 Cucuta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Independiente Medellin66%fair 1.52 · @1.30
Draw17%fair 5.74 · @4.80
Cucuta17%fair 5.99 · @9.00
2.89Expected goals
2.03Independiente Medellin xG
0.86Cucuta xG
56%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Independiente Medellin 2.0 – 0.9 Cucuta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente Medellin to win✗
66%
1.52
1.30
Double chance
Independiente Medellin or draw✗
83%
1.20
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Independiente Medellin (draw no bet)✗
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Independiente Medellin -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Independiente Medellin to score first✗
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Independiente Medellin ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente Medellin / FT Independiente Medellin✗
What is the prediction for Independiente Medellin vs Cucuta?
Our pick is Independiente Medellin to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Independiente Medellin vs Cucuta?
On our numbers Independiente Medellin have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Cucuta 17%.
How many goals will there be in Independiente Medellin vs Cucuta?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independiente Medellin vs Cucuta?
Our predicted score is Independiente Medellin 2–0 Cucuta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Independiente Medellin vs Cucuta?
Independiente Medellin vs Cucuta (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 02:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
