Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultIndependiente Medellin to win ✓63% · @1.44
Double chanceIndependiente Medellin or draw ✓83% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.11
Independiente Medellin vs Llaneros: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Llaneros travel to face Independiente Medellin on Sunday 30 August in the Primera A, with Estadio Atanasio Girardot the venue – the ball rolls at 22:10 WAT. In the table, Independiente Medellin are 6th, upper half, on 29 points after 18 matches; Llaneros are 12th (lower half) with 23.
Current form
Independiente Medellin, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Cucuta, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Llaneros, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Millonarios, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Feb 2026) it ended Llaneros 2–2 Independiente Medellin.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Independiente Medellin 1.6 xG, Llaneros 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Independiente Medellin 63%, draw 20%, Llaneros 17%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Independiente Medellin to win (63%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Independiente Medellin 1–0 Llaneros. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Independiente Medellin63%fair 1.58 · @1.44
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @3.80
Llaneros17%fair 6.00 · @6.50
2.31Expected goals
1.65Independiente Medellin xG
0.66Llaneros xG
49%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–014%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Independiente Medellin 1.6 – 0.7 Llaneros expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente Medellin to win✓
63%
1.58
1.44
Double chance
Independiente Medellin or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.75
Draw no bet
Independiente Medellin (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Independiente Medellin -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Independiente Medellin to score first
64%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente Medellin / FT Independiente Medellin✓
What is the prediction for Independiente Medellin vs Llaneros?
Our pick is Independiente Medellin to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Independiente Medellin vs Llaneros?
On our numbers Independiente Medellin have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Llaneros 17%.
How many goals will there be in Independiente Medellin vs Llaneros?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independiente Medellin vs Llaneros?
Our predicted score is Independiente Medellin 1–0 Llaneros, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Independiente Medellin vs Llaneros?
Independiente Medellin vs Llaneros (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 22:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
