Junior 57%Draw 24%Santa Fe 19%Expected goals 1.71 – 0.86
81%
Betarazi pick
Junior or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Junior to win @ 1.90 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultJunior to win ✗57% · @1.90
Double chanceJunior or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.60
Junior vs Santa Fe: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 30 August the Primera A brings Junior against Santa Fe at Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez. Kick-off: 00:30 WAT. In the table, Junior are 14th, lower half, on 19 points after 18 matches; Santa Fe are 5th (upper half) with 31. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Junior, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to America de Cali, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Santa Fe, last 5: DDDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with River Plate, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Santa Fe, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Junior.
Head to head
When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Santa Fe 1–1 Junior. The last 2 head-to-heads: Junior 0 wins, Santa Fe 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Junior 1.7 xG, Santa Fe 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Junior 57%, draw 24%, Santa Fe 19%.
Lower-risk option: Junior or draw (81%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Junior to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Junior or draw (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Junior 1–0 Santa Fe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Junior57%fair 1.74 · @1.90
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.35
Santa Fe19%fair 5.40 · @4.10
2.56Expected goals
1.71Junior xG
0.86Santa Fe xG
49%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Junior 1.7 – 0.9 Santa Fe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Junior or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Junior vs Santa Fe?
On our numbers Junior have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Santa Fe 19%.
How many goals will there be in Junior vs Santa Fe?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Junior vs Santa Fe?
Our predicted score is Junior 1–0 Santa Fe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Junior vs Santa Fe?
Junior vs Santa Fe (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
