Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
2
Value bet: Junior to win @ 2.15 – our chance 49% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultJunior to win ✗49% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.79
Alianza Valledupar vs Junior: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Junior travel to face Alianza Valledupar on Sunday 13 September in the Primera A, with Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau the venue – the ball rolls at 02:20 WAT. In the table, Alianza Valledupar are 16th, lower half, on 18 points after 18 matches; Junior are 14th (lower half) with 19. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Alianza Valledupar, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Once Caldas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Junior, last 5: DDLDL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Jaguares, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Junior, collecting 0.7 points per game to 0.2 for Alianza Valledupar.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Mar 2026) it ended Junior 1–1 Alianza Valledupar.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alianza Valledupar 1.1 xG, Junior 1.5 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alianza Valledupar 28%, draw 23%, Junior 49%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Junior to win @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 49%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.68, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alianza Valledupar 1–1 Junior. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alianza Valledupar28%fair 3.56 · @3.10
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.25
Junior49%fair 2.03 · @2.15
2.58Expected goals
1.06Alianza Valledupar xG
1.52Junior xG
60%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Alianza Valledupar 1.1 – 1.5 Junior expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Alianza Valledupar vs Junior?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Alianza Valledupar vs Junior?
On our numbers Alianza Valledupar have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Junior 49%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza Valledupar vs Junior?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza Valledupar vs Junior?
Our predicted score is Alianza Valledupar 1–1 Junior, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Alianza Valledupar vs Junior?
Alianza Valledupar vs Junior (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 02:20 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.