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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Alianza Valledupar v Junior: numbers & prediction

Primera A · Colombia · Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau
1–0
FT

Junior

DDLDL
Alianza Valledupar 28%Draw 23%Junior 49% Expected goals 1.06 – 1.52
60%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.75Odds
2

Value bet: Junior to win @ 2.15 – our chance 49% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultJunior to win ✗49% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.79

Alianza Valledupar vs Junior: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Junior travel to face Alianza Valledupar on Sunday 13 September in the Primera A, with Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau the venue – the ball rolls at 02:20 WAT. In the table, Alianza Valledupar are 16th, lower half, on 18 points after 18 matches; Junior are 14th (lower half) with 19. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Alianza Valledupar, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Once Caldas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Junior, last 5: DDLDL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Jaguares, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Junior, collecting 0.7 points per game to 0.2 for Alianza Valledupar.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Mar 2026) it ended Junior 1–1 Alianza Valledupar.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Alianza Valledupar 1.1 xG, Junior 1.5 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Alianza Valledupar 28%, draw 23%, Junior 49%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.75.
  • Price worth noting: Junior to win @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 49%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.68, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alianza Valledupar 1–1 Junior. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Alianza Valledupar28%fair 3.56 · @3.10
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.25
Junior49%fair 2.03 · @2.15
2.58Expected goals
1.06Alianza Valledupar xG
1.52Junior xG
60%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–08%

From our goals model: Alianza Valledupar 1.1 – 1.5 Junior expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultJunior to win ✗49%2.032.15 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.681.75
Draw no betJunior (draw no bet) ✗64%1.57–
Asian handicapAlianza Valledupar +1 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73%1.37–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.91–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreJunior to score first ✗54%1.84–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Junior / FT Junior ✗29%3.51–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.79–

Recent results

Alianza Valledupar – last 6

LLLLDL
10 Sep@ Once Caldas0–1L
3 Sep@ America de Cali0–3L
30 Augvs Atletico Nacional1–5L
26 Aug@ Cucuta0–1L
22 Augvs Deportivo Pereira0–0D
9 Augvs Bucaramanga2–3L
0.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Junior – last 6

DDLDLD
6 Sepvs Jaguares3–3D
30 Augvs Santa Fe1–1D
27 Aug@ America de Cali2–4L
24 Augvs Once Caldas1–1D
2 Augvs Millonarios0–1L
29 Jul@ Barranquilla3–3D
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Mar 2026Junior v Alianza Valledupar1–1
Alianza Valledupar vs Junior head-to-head page →

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Nacional191315+2040
2Junior191126+735
3Deportivo Pasto191045+434
4America de Cali191036+1033
5Once Caldas19892+933
6Deportes Tolima19874+1031
7Santa Fe19784+729
8Internacional de Bogota19775028
9Deportivo Cali19766+427
10Millonarios19757+826
11Independiente Medellin19757+226
12Águilas Doradas19757-526
13Bucaramanga19586+623
14Llaneros194105-322
15Fortaleza FC19577-522
16Jaguares195311-1318
17Alianza Valledupar19388-1417
18Chico195212-1717
19Cucuta19379-1316
20Deportivo Pereira191711-1710

More Primera A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alianza Valledupar vs Junior?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Alianza Valledupar vs Junior?

On our numbers Alianza Valledupar have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Junior 49%.

How many goals will there be in Alianza Valledupar vs Junior?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Alianza Valledupar vs Junior?

Our predicted score is Alianza Valledupar 1–1 Junior, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Alianza Valledupar vs Junior?

Alianza Valledupar vs Junior (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 02:20 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.