Atletico Nacional 68%Draw 22%Águilas Doradas 10%Expected goals 2.02 – 0.69
68%
Betarazi pick
Atletico Nacional to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.36Odds
Picks by market
ResultAtletico Nacional to win ✓68% · @1.36
Double chanceAtletico Nacional or draw ✓90% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.69
Atletico Nacional vs Águilas Doradas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 13 September the Primera A brings Atletico Nacional against Águilas Doradas at Estadio Atanasio Girardot. Kick-off: 22:05 WAT. In the table, Atletico Nacional are 1st, leading the league, on 39 points after 18 matches; Águilas Doradas are 10th (upper half) with 25. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Atletico Nacional, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Deportivo Cali, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Águilas Doradas, last 5: DDDDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Internacional de Bogota, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Atletico Nacional, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.7 for Águilas Doradas.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Nacional 2.0 xG, Águilas Doradas 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Nacional 68%, draw 22%, Águilas Doradas 10%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Atletico Nacional to win (68%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Nacional 2–0 Águilas Doradas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atletico Nacional68%fair 1.48 · @1.36
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @4.40
Águilas Doradas10%fair 9.59 · @7.50
2.71Expected goals
2.02Atletico Nacional xG
0.69Águilas Doradas xG
52%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–014%
1–013%
2–19%
1–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Atletico Nacional 2.0 – 0.7 Águilas Doradas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Nacional to win✓
68%
1.48
1.36
Double chance
Atletico Nacional or draw✓
90%
1.12
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
2.00
Draw no bet
Atletico Nacional (draw no bet)✓
87%
1.15
–
Asian handicap
Atletico Nacional -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Atletico Nacional to score first✓
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Atletico Nacional ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Nacional / FT Atletico Nacional✗
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.69
–
Recent results
Atletico Nacional – last 6
WWWWLW
8 Sep
vs Deportivo Cali
3–0
W
30 Aug
@ Alianza Valledupar
5–1
W
27 Aug
vs Deportivo Cali
2–1
W
23 Aug
@ Fortaleza FC
2–1
W
10 Aug
@ America de Cali
0–1
L
2 Aug
@ Jaguares
3–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Águilas Doradas – last 6
DDDDWW
6 Sep
@ Internacional de Bogota
2–2
D
30 Aug
vs Chico
2–2
D
22 Aug
vs Millonarios
1–1
D
19 Aug
vs Llaneros
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Deportivo Pasto
2–1
W
26 Jul
vs Santa Fe
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Nacional and Águilas Doradas.
What is the prediction for Atletico Nacional vs Águilas Doradas?
Our pick is Atletico Nacional to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Atletico Nacional vs Águilas Doradas?
On our numbers Atletico Nacional have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Águilas Doradas 10%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Nacional vs Águilas Doradas?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Nacional vs Águilas Doradas?
Our predicted score is Atletico Nacional 2–0 Águilas Doradas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Atletico Nacional vs Águilas Doradas?
Atletico Nacional vs Águilas Doradas (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 22:05 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
