Águilas Doradas v Deportes Tolima Prediction & Expected Goals (18 Oct) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultDeportes Tolima to win ✗41% · @2.50

Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.85

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.13

Águilas Doradas vs Deportes Tolima: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Deportes Tolima travel to face Águilas Doradas on Sunday 18 October in the Primera A, with Estadio Cincuentenario the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Águilas Doradas are 10th, upper half, on 25 points after 18 matches; Deportes Tolima are 9th (upper half) with 26. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Águilas Doradas, last 5: DDWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Bucaramanga, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Deportes Tolima, last 5: LDDDD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Jaguares, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Apr 2026) it ended Deportes Tolima 4–1 Águilas Doradas.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Águilas Doradas 1.1 xG, Deportes Tolima 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Águilas Doradas 35%, draw 24%, Deportes Tolima 41%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (52%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Águilas Doradas 1–1 Deportes Tolima. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Águilas Doradas35%fair 2.90 · @2.80

Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.00

Deportes Tolima41%fair 2.42 · @2.50

2.39Expected goals

1.13Águilas Doradas xG

1.26Deportes Tolima xG

52%Both score

43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

0–112%

1–010%

0–09%

1–28%

2–17%

From our goals model: Águilas Doradas 1.1 – 1.3 Deportes Tolima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Deportes Tolima to win ✗	41%	2.42	2.50
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	76%	1.32	1.36
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	52%	1.93	1.85
Draw no bet	Deportes Tolima (draw no bet) ✗	54%	1.84	–
Asian handicap	Águilas Doradas +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	60%	1.65	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	69%	1.45	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	57%	1.75	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	78%	1.28	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	91%	1.10	–
First team to score	Deportes Tolima to score first	48%	2.08	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	45%	2.21	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Deportes Tolima / FT Deportes Tolima ✗	23%	4.40	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	8%	12.13	–

Águilas Doradas – last 6

DDWLLD

14 Oct	@ Bucaramanga	1–1	D
10 Oct	@ Alianza Valledupar	2–2	D
3 Oct	vs Jaguares	2–0	W
28 Sep	@ Deportivo Cali	0–2	L
24 Sep	@ America de Cali	0–1	L
18 Sep	vs Deportivo Pereira	2–2	D

1.2Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Deportes Tolima – last 6

LDDDDL

11 Oct	@ Jaguares	2–3	L
9 Oct	@ Atletico Nacional	0–0	D
3 Oct	vs Chico	0–0	D
28 Sep	@ Fortaleza FC	2–2	D
21 Sep	vs America de Cali	1–1	D
17 Sep	@ Once Caldas	0–1	L

0.8Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Atletico Nacional	19	13	1	5	+20	40
2	Junior	19	11	2	6	+7	35
3	Deportivo Pasto	19	10	4	5	+4	34
4	America de Cali	19	10	3	6	+10	33
5	Once Caldas	19	8	9	2	+9	33
6	Deportes Tolima	19	8	7	4	+10	31
7	Santa Fe	19	7	8	4	+7	29
8	Internacional de Bogota	19	7	7	5	0	28
9	Deportivo Cali	19	7	6	6	+4	27
10	Millonarios	19	7	5	7	+8	26
11	Independiente Medellin	19	7	5	7	+2	26
12	Águilas Doradas	19	7	5	7	-5	26
13	Bucaramanga	19	5	8	6	+6	23
14	Llaneros	19	4	10	5	-3	22
15	Fortaleza FC	19	5	7	7	-5	22
16	Jaguares	19	5	3	11	-13	18
17	Alianza Valledupar	19	3	8	8	-14	17
18	Chico	19	5	2	12	-17	17
19	Cucuta	19	3	7	9	-13	16
20	Deportivo Pereira	19	1	7	11	-17	10

Team

Pts

+20

+10

+10

Internacional de Bogota

Deportivo Cali

Millonarios

Independiente Medellin

-5

-3

-5

-13

-14

-17

-13

-17

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Águilas Doradas vs Deportes Tolima?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Águilas Doradas vs Deportes Tolima?

On our numbers Águilas Doradas have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Deportes Tolima 41%.

How many goals will there be in Águilas Doradas vs Deportes Tolima?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Águilas Doradas vs Deportes Tolima?

Our predicted score is Águilas Doradas 1–1 Deportes Tolima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Águilas Doradas vs Deportes Tolima?

Águilas Doradas vs Deportes Tolima (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Cincuentenario.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Águilas Doradas v Deportes Tolima: numbers & prediction