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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Millonarios v Jaguares: numbers & prediction

Primera A · Colombia · Estadio El Campin
4–1
FT
Millonarios 75%Draw 17%Jaguares 8% Expected goals 2.17 – 0.55
75%
Betarazi pick

Millonarios to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultMillonarios to win ✓75% · @1.22
Double chanceMillonarios or draw ✓92% · @1.04
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗11% · fair 8.92

Millonarios vs Jaguares: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 18 October the Primera A brings Millonarios against Jaguares at Estadio El Campin. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, Millonarios are 7th, upper half, on 27 points after 18 matches; Jaguares are 19th (in the drop zone) with 13. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Millonarios, last 5: DDDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Fortaleza FC, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Jaguares, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Deportes Tolima, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Millonarios, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Jaguares.

Head to head

When they last met (3 Apr 2026) it ended Jaguares 1–0 Millonarios.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Millonarios 2.2 xG, Jaguares 0.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Millonarios 75%, draw 17%, Jaguares 8%.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Millonarios to win (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Millonarios 2–0 Jaguares. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Millonarios75%fair 1.34 · @1.22
Draw17%fair 5.73 · @5.50
Jaguares8%fair 12.73 · @12.00
2.72Expected goals
2.17Millonarios xG
0.55Jaguares xG
48%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–016%
1–014%
3–011%
2–19%
1–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Millonarios 2.2 – 0.6 Jaguares expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMillonarios to win ✓75%1.341.22
Double chanceMillonarios or draw ✓92%1.091.04
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.941.75
Draw no betMillonarios (draw no bet) ✓90%1.11–
Asian handicapMillonarios -1 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.32–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.96–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗71%1.41–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗86%1.16–
First team to scoreMillonarios to score first75%1.34–
Half-time resultMillonarios ahead at half-time ✓53%1.88–
Half-time / full-timeHT Millonarios / FT Millonarios ✓50%2.00–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗11%8.92–

Recent results

Millonarios – last 6

DDDDWW
9 Oct@ Fortaleza FC1–1D
4 Oct@ Barranquilla1–1D
30 Sep@ Independiente Medellin2–2D
25 Sep@ Atletico Nacional1–1D
19 Sepvs Chico3–0W
14 Sep@ Cucuta2–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Jaguares – last 6

WLLLDD
11 Octvs Deportes Tolima3–2W
3 Oct@ Águilas Doradas0–2L
27 Sepvs Alianza Valledupar1–2L
23 Sep@ Independiente Medellin1–2L
12 Sepvs Fortaleza FC2–2D
6 Sep@ Junior3–3D
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Apr 2026Jaguares v Millonarios1–0
Millonarios vs Jaguares head-to-head page →

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Nacional191315+2040
2Junior191126+735
3Deportivo Pasto191045+434
4America de Cali191036+1033
5Once Caldas19892+933
6Deportes Tolima19874+1031
7Santa Fe19784+729
8Internacional de Bogota19775028
9Deportivo Cali19766+427
10Millonarios19757+826
11Independiente Medellin19757+226
12Águilas Doradas19757-526
13Bucaramanga19586+623
14Llaneros194105-322
15Fortaleza FC19577-522
16Jaguares195311-1318
17Alianza Valledupar19388-1417
18Chico195212-1717
19Cucuta19379-1316
20Deportivo Pereira191711-1710

More Primera A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Millonarios vs Jaguares?

Our pick is Millonarios to win with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Millonarios vs Jaguares?

On our numbers Millonarios have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Jaguares 8%.

How many goals will there be in Millonarios vs Jaguares?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Millonarios vs Jaguares?

Our predicted score is Millonarios 2–0 Jaguares, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Millonarios vs Jaguares?

Millonarios vs Jaguares (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Campin.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.