Atletico Nacional 76%Draw 15%Deportivo Pereira 9%Expected goals 2.28 – 0.60
63%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.61 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.61Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.11 – our chance 50% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAtletico Nacional to win ✓76% · @1.17
Double chanceAtletico Nacional or draw ✓91% · fair 1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.11
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.44
Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pereira: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atletico Nacional welcome Deportivo Pereira to Estadio Atanasio Girardot for a Primera A fixture on Sunday 8 November (00:10 WAT). In the table, Atletico Nacional are 1st, leading the league, on 39 points after 18 matches; Deportivo Pereira are 17th (lower half) with 17. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Atletico Nacional, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Bucaramanga, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Deportivo Pereira, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Deportes Tolima, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Atletico Nacional, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Deportivo Pereira.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Nacional 2.3 xG, Deportivo Pereira 0.6 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 59%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Nacional 76%, draw 15%, Deportivo Pereira 9%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.11.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.11 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.61). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Nacional 2–0 Deportivo Pereira. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atletico Nacional76%fair 1.31 · @1.17
Draw15%fair 6.57 · @6.45
Deportivo Pereira9%fair 11.51 · @13.00
2.88Expected goals
2.28Atletico Nacional xG
0.60Deportivo Pereira xG
50%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–015%
1–013%
3–011%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Atletico Nacional 2.3 – 0.6 Deportivo Pereira expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Nacional to win✓
76%
1.31
1.17
Double chance
Atletico Nacional or draw✓
91%
1.10
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
2.11 ▲
Draw no bet
Atletico Nacional (draw no bet)✓
90%
1.11
–
Asian handicap
Atletico Nacional -1 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.60
1.61
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.22
First team to score
Atletico Nacional to score first
75%
1.34
–
Half-time result
Atletico Nacional ahead at half-time✓
54%
1.84
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Nacional / FT Atletico Nacional✓
51%
1.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.44
–
Recent results
Atletico Nacional – last 6
DWWWLW
3 Nov
@ Bucaramanga
1–1
D
30 Oct
vs Santa Fe
2–0
W
26 Oct
vs Independiente Medellin
2–1
W
23 Oct
vs Deportivo Pasto
3–0
W
21 Oct
@ Cucuta
0–1
L
17 Oct
@ Chico
4–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Deportivo Pereira – last 6
LWDWDD
3 Nov
vs Deportes Tolima
1–3
L
30 Oct
vs Jaguares
1–0
W
25 Oct
@ Once Caldas
1–1
D
20 Oct
vs Chico
2–0
W
14 Oct
@ Junior
1–1
D
10 Oct
vs Deportivo Cali
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Nacional and Deportivo Pereira.
What is the prediction for Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pereira?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.61.
Who will win Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pereira?
On our numbers Atletico Nacional have a 76% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Deportivo Pereira 9%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pereira?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pereira?
Our predicted score is Atletico Nacional 2–0 Deportivo Pereira, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pereira?
Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pereira (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 00:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
