Value bet: Bucaramanga to win @ 1.89 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBucaramanga to win ✓57% · @1.89
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.26
Jaguares vs Bucaramanga: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 8 November the Primera A brings Jaguares against Bucaramanga at Estadio Jaraguay. Kick-off: 22:05 WAT. In the table, Jaguares are 19th, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 18 matches; Bucaramanga are 4th (among the top four) with 32. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Jaguares, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Deportivo Pereira, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Bucaramanga, last 5: DWLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Atletico Nacional, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Jaguares 1.0 xG, Bucaramanga 1.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Jaguares 24%, draw 19%, Bucaramanga 57%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Bucaramanga to win @1.89 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jaguares 1–1 Bucaramanga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Jaguares24%fair 4.14 · @3.60
Draw19%fair 5.20 · @3.60
Bucaramanga57%fair 1.77 · @1.89
2.72Expected goals
1.00Jaguares xG
1.72Bucaramanga xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
0–111%
1–210%
0–210%
1–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Jaguares 1.0 – 1.7 Bucaramanga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bucaramanga to win✓
57%
1.77
1.89 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.24
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.65
Draw no bet
Bucaramanga (draw no bet)✓
70%
1.43
–
Asian handicap
Jaguares +1 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.32
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.76
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.09
First team to score
Bucaramanga to score first✓
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bucaramanga / FT Bucaramanga✓
33%
3.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.26
–
Recent results
Jaguares – last 6
LWLLWL
30 Oct
@ Deportivo Pereira
0–1
L
27 Oct
vs Llaneros
1–0
W
22 Oct
@ Santa Fe
1–2
L
18 Oct
@ Millonarios
1–4
L
11 Oct
vs Deportes Tolima
3–2
W
3 Oct
@ Águilas Doradas
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Bucaramanga – last 6
DWLLDD
3 Nov
vs Atletico Nacional
1–1
D
31 Oct
vs Deportivo Pasto
2–1
W
27 Oct
@ Santa Fe
1–2
L
24 Oct
@ Chico
0–1
L
18 Oct
vs America de Cali
1–1
D
14 Oct
vs Águilas Doradas
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jaguares and Bucaramanga.
What is the prediction for Jaguares vs Bucaramanga?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Jaguares vs Bucaramanga?
On our numbers Jaguares have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Bucaramanga 57%.
How many goals will there be in Jaguares vs Bucaramanga?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jaguares vs Bucaramanga?
Our predicted score is Jaguares 1–1 Bucaramanga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Jaguares vs Bucaramanga?
Jaguares vs Bucaramanga (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 22:05 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jaraguay.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
