Value bet: Under 3.5 goals @ 1.90 – our chance 59% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSanta Fe to win ✓75% · @1.07
Double chanceSanta Fe or draw ✓94% · @1.01
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.78
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗12% · fair 8.53
Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pasto: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Santa Fe welcome Deportivo Pasto for a Primera A fixture on Sunday 8 November (20:00 WAT). In the table, Santa Fe are 5th, upper half, on 31 points after 18 matches; Deportivo Pasto are 18th (in the drop zone) with 15. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Santa Fe, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Cucuta, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Deportivo Pasto, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Bucaramanga, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (24 Apr 2026) it ended Deportivo Pasto 1–2 Santa Fe.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Santa Fe 2.2 xG, Deportivo Pasto 0.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Santa Fe 75%, draw 18%, Deportivo Pasto 6%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.78.
Price worth noting: Under 3.5 goals @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santa Fe 2–0 Deportivo Pasto. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Santa Fe75%fair 1.33 · @1.07
Draw18%fair 5.42 · @8.75
Deportivo Pasto6%fair 16.34 · @24.00
2.79Expected goals
2.25Santa Fe xG
0.54Deportivo Pasto xG
50%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–016%
1–014%
3–012%
2–18%
1–17%
4–07%
From our goals model: Santa Fe 2.2 – 0.5 Deportivo Pasto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pasto?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pasto?
On our numbers Santa Fe have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Deportivo Pasto 6%.
How many goals will there be in Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pasto?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pasto?
Our predicted score is Santa Fe 2–0 Deportivo Pasto, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pasto?
Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pasto (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
