Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultInter to win ✓69% · @1.44
Double chanceInter or draw ✓90% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.44
Cagliari vs Inter: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Sunday 30 August: Cagliari v Inter in the Serie A, played at Unipol Domus. In the table, Cagliari are 9th, upper half, on 16 points after 11 matches; Inter are 2nd (among the top four) with 28. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Cagliari, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Parma, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Inter, last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Monza, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (17 Apr 2026) it ended Inter 3–0 Cagliari.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cagliari 0.8 xG, Inter 2.2 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 54% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cagliari 10%, draw 21%, Inter 69%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Inter to win (69%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cagliari 0–2 Inter. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cagliari10%fair 9.64 · @7.00
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @4.20
Inter69%fair 1.46 · @1.44
3.00Expected goals
0.78Cagliari xG
2.22Inter xG
54%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–212%
0–111%
1–210%
0–39%
1–19%
1–37%
From our goals model: Cagliari 0.8 – 2.2 Inter expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Inter to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Cagliari vs Inter?
On our numbers Cagliari have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Inter 69%.
How many goals will there be in Cagliari vs Inter?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cagliari vs Inter?
Our predicted score is Cagliari 0–2 Inter, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Cagliari vs Inter?
Cagliari vs Inter (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Unipol Domus.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.