Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.81
Napoli vs Como: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Napoli welcome Como to Stadio Diego Armando Maradona for a Serie A fixture on Sunday 30 August (17:30 WAT). In the table, Napoli are 10th, upper half, on 15 points after 11 matches; Como are 5th (upper half) with 23.
Current form
Napoli, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Genoa, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 5. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Como, last 5: DDDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Udinese, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Napoli 1.1 xG, Como 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Napoli 42%, draw 25%, Como 33%.
GG/NG: NG (52%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (52%, odds 1.83). Most likely score in line with that pick: Napoli 1–0 Como. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Napoli42%fair 2.38 · @2.50
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @2.90
Como33%fair 3.02 · @3.00
2.00Expected goals
1.08Napoli xG
0.92Como xG
48%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Napoli 1.1 – 0.9 Como expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Napoli to win✗
42%
2.38
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.40 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.83
Draw no bet
Napoli (draw no bet)✗
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Como +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Napoli to score first
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Napoli / FT Napoli✗
22%
4.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.81
–
Recent results
Napoli – last 6
WWDWWL
22 Aug
@ Genoa
2–0
W
12 Aug
vs Aris Thessalonikis
6–2
W
8 Aug
vs Celta Vigo
1–1
D
5 Aug
vs Osasuna
2–1
W
26 Jul
vs Carrarese
2–0
W
22 Jul
vs Arezzo
1–3
L
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Como – last 6
DDDWWW
22 Aug
@ Udinese
1–1
D
16 Aug
@ Liverpool
0–0
D
12 Aug
@ Arsenal
1–1
D
31 Jul
@ Famalicao
3–2
W
24 May
@ Cremonese
4–1
W
17 May
vs Parma
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Napoli and Como.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Napoli vs Como?
On our numbers Napoli have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Como 33%.
How many goals will there be in Napoli vs Como?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Napoli vs Como?
Our predicted score is Napoli 1–0 Como, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Napoli vs Como?
Napoli vs Como (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
