Value bet: Frosinone to win @ 2.62 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultFrosinone to win ✓42% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 14.04
Frosinone vs Venezia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Frosinone welcome Venezia to Stadio Benito Stirpe for a Serie A fixture on Sunday 6 September (14:00 WAT). In the table, Frosinone are 6th, upper half, on 20 points after 11 matches; Venezia are 19th (in the drop zone) with 6. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Frosinone, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sassuolo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Venezia, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Udinese, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Frosinone, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Venezia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Frosinone 1.1 xG, Venezia 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Frosinone 42%, draw 22%, Venezia 36%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Frosinone to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Frosinone 1–1 Venezia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Frosinone42%fair 2.40 · @2.62
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.30
Venezia36%fair 2.79 · @2.50
2.00Expected goals
1.06Frosinone xG
0.94Venezia xG
56%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
0–014%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Frosinone 1.1 – 0.9 Venezia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Frosinone to win✓
42%
2.40
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
1.67
Draw no bet
Frosinone (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Venezia +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Frosinone to score first✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
14.04
–
Recent results
Frosinone – last 6
DWLWLD
2 Sep
@ Sassuolo
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Fiorentina
3–0
W
23 Aug
vs Juventus
0–1
L
16 Aug
vs Juve Stabia
4–1
W
9 Aug
vs Lazio
1–2
L
1 Aug
vs Benevento
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Venezia – last 6
LLLWDL
2 Sep
@ Udinese
1–2
L
28 Aug
@ AC Milan
0–2
L
23 Aug
vs Lecce
0–2
L
15 Aug
vs Modena
3–2
W
8 Aug
@ Stade Brestois 29
2–2
D
1 Aug
@ Saint Etienne
3–4
L
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Frosinone and Venezia.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Frosinone vs Venezia?
On our numbers Frosinone have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Venezia 36%.
How many goals will there be in Frosinone vs Venezia?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Frosinone vs Venezia?
Our predicted score is Frosinone 1–1 Venezia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Frosinone vs Venezia?
Frosinone vs Venezia (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Benito Stirpe.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
