Value bet: AC Milan to win @ 3.50 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultJuventus to win ✗45% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.61
Juventus vs AC Milan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 6 September the Serie A brings Juventus against AC Milan at Allianz Stadium. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Juventus are 7th, upper half, on 18 points after 11 matches; AC Milan are 4th (among the top four) with 24.
Current form
Juventus, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Parma, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
AC Milan, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Venezia, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Juventus, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.8 for AC Milan.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Juventus 1.1 xG, AC Milan 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Juventus 45%, draw 23%, AC Milan 32%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: AC Milan to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (51%, odds 1.91). Most likely score in line with that pick: Juventus 1–0 AC Milan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Juventus45%fair 2.25 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.10
AC Milan32%fair 3.11 · @3.50
2.00Expected goals
1.12Juventus xG
0.88AC Milan xG
49%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Juventus 1.1 – 0.9 AC Milan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Juventus to win✗
45%
2.25
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.35
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
1.91
Draw no bet
Juventus (draw no bet)
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
AC Milan +1 (Asian handicap)✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Juventus to score first
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Juventus / FT Juventus✗
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.61
–
Recent results
Juventus – last 6
WWWLWW
29 Aug
vs Parma
2–0
W
23 Aug
@ Frosinone
1–0
W
11 Aug
vs Palermo
2–0
W
8 Aug
vs Inter
1–2
L
5 Aug
@ Chelsea
1–0
W
31 Jul
vs Nice
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
AC Milan – last 6
WWWLDD
28 Aug
vs Venezia
2–0
W
23 Aug
@ Torino
2–1
W
15 Aug
@ Manchester United
4–2
W
8 Aug
@ Chelsea
0–3
L
5 Aug
vs Inter
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ Celtic
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Juventus and AC Milan.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Juventus vs AC Milan?
On our numbers Juventus have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and AC Milan 32%.
How many goals will there be in Juventus vs AC Milan?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Juventus vs AC Milan?
Our predicted score is Juventus 1–0 AC Milan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Juventus vs AC Milan?
Juventus vs AC Milan (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Allianz Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
