14:00 WAT, Sunday 6 September: Parma v Monza in the Serie A, played at Stadio Ennio Tardini. In the table, Parma are 16th, lower half, on 8 points after 11 matches; Monza are 18th (in the drop zone) with 7. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Parma, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Cremonese, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 5. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Monza, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Torino, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Monza, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Parma.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Parma 1.8 xG, Monza 1.5 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Parma 43%, draw 25%, Monza 32%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.73, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Parma 1–1 Monza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Parma43%fair 2.30 · @2.50
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @2.90
Monza32%fair 3.14 · @2.90
3.25Expected goals
1.76Parma xG
1.49Monza xG
58%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: Parma 1.8 – 1.5 Monza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Parma to win✗
43%
2.30
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Parma (draw no bet)
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
Monza +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
First team to score
Parma to score first✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.65
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Parma / FT Parma✗
27%
3.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.16
–
Recent results
Parma – last 6
LLLWLD
1 Sep
vs Cremonese
0–2
L
29 Aug
@ Juventus
0–2
L
22 Aug
vs Cagliari
0–1
L
14 Aug
vs Catania
2–0
W
9 Aug
vs Sampdoria
0–2
L
2 Aug
vs Iraklis 1908
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Monza – last 6
WLLWDL
1 Sep
@ Torino
1–0
W
29 Aug
vs Udinese
2–3
L
22 Aug
@ Inter
1–4
L
14 Aug
vs Avellino
3–0
W
7 Aug
vs Padova
3–3
D
30 Jul
vs Aris Thessalonikis
1–3
L
1.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Parma and Monza.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Parma vs Monza?
On our numbers Parma have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Monza 32%.
How many goals will there be in Parma vs Monza?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Parma vs Monza?
Our predicted score is Parma 1–1 Monza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Parma vs Monza?
Parma vs Monza (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ennio Tardini.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
