Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultFiorentina to win ✗47% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.74
Genoa vs Fiorentina: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 10 October the Serie A brings Genoa against Fiorentina at Luigi Ferraris. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Genoa are 13th, lower half, on 13 points after 11 matches; Fiorentina are 15th (lower half) with 9.
Current form
Genoa, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Rapid, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Fiorentina, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Napoli, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Fiorentina, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Genoa.
Head to head
When they last met (10 May 2026) it ended Fiorentina 0–0 Genoa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Genoa 1.4 xG, Fiorentina 1.7 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Genoa 30%, draw 23%, Fiorentina 47%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.63, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Genoa 1–1 Fiorentina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Genoa30%fair 3.34 · @3.10
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.20
Fiorentina47%fair 2.12 · @2.25
3.10Expected goals
1.35Genoa xG
1.75Fiorentina xG
61%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: Genoa 1.4 – 1.7 Fiorentina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Genoa vs Fiorentina?
On our numbers Genoa have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Fiorentina 47%.
How many goals will there be in Genoa vs Fiorentina?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Genoa vs Fiorentina?
Our predicted score is Genoa 1–1 Fiorentina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Genoa vs Fiorentina?
Genoa vs Fiorentina (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Luigi Ferraris.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
