17:00 WAT, Saturday 10 October: Inter v Parma in the Serie A, played at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza. In the table, Inter are 2nd, among the top four, on 28 points after 11 matches; Parma are 16th (lower half) with 8. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Inter, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with AS Roma, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Parma, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Genoa, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Inter, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for Parma.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Inter 2.5 xG, Parma 0.9 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 56% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Inter 73%, draw 14%, Parma 13%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.10.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 2.10 – longer than our fair 1.79, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Inter 2–1 Parma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Inter73%fair 1.37 · @1.14
Draw14%fair 7.25 · @8.50
Parma13%fair 7.53 · @15.00
3.40Expected goals
2.48Inter xG
0.92Parma xG
56%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–19%
3–09%
1–08%
3–18%
1–18%
From our goals model: Inter 2.5 – 0.9 Parma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Inter to win✓
73%
1.37
1.14
Double chance
Inter or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Inter (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Inter -1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
–
First team to score
Inter to score first✓
71%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Inter ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Inter / FT Inter✓
48%
2.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.60
–
Recent results
Inter – last 6
DWLWWW
19 Sep
@ AS Roma
2–2
D
14 Sep
vs Udinese
5–3
W
8 Sep
@ Real Madrid
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs Napoli
3–2
W
30 Aug
@ Cagliari
1–0
W
22 Aug
vs Monza
4–1
W
2.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Parma – last 6
WLDLLL
20 Sep
vs Genoa
2–1
W
14 Sep
@ Como
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Monza
1–1
D
1 Sep
vs Cremonese
0–2
L
29 Aug
@ Juventus
0–2
L
22 Aug
vs Cagliari
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Inter and Parma.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.
Who will win Inter vs Parma?
On our numbers Inter have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Parma 13%.
How many goals will there be in Inter vs Parma?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Inter vs Parma?
Our predicted score is Inter 2–1 Parma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Inter vs Parma?
Inter vs Parma (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
