Napoli vs Frosinone: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Frosinone travel to face Napoli on Saturday 10 October in the Serie A, with Maradona Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Napoli are 10th, upper half, on 15 points after 11 matches; Frosinone are 6th (upper half) with 20.
Current form
Napoli, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Fiorentina, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Frosinone, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Benevento, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Frosinone, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for Napoli.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Napoli 1.9 xG, Frosinone 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Napoli 68%, draw 17%, Frosinone 14%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Napoli to win (68%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Napoli 1–0 Frosinone. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Napoli68%fair 1.46 · @1.44
Draw17%fair 5.72 · @4.50
Frosinone14%fair 7.11 · @6.00
2.60Expected goals
1.92Napoli xG
0.68Frosinone xG
55%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Napoli 1.9 – 0.7 Frosinone expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Napoli to win✓
68%
1.46
1.44
Double chance
Napoli or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.62
Draw no bet
Napoli (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Napoli -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Napoli to score first✓
68%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Napoli ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Napoli / FT Napoli✓
43%
2.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.74
–
Recent results
Napoli – last 6
DWLLLW
20 Sep
@ Fiorentina
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Bologna
1–0
W
9 Sep
vs Arsenal
0–1
L
5 Sep
@ Inter
2–3
L
30 Aug
vs Como
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Genoa
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Frosinone – last 6
WWDWDW
2 Oct
vs Benevento
2–1
W
20 Sep
vs Como
2–0
W
12 Sep
@ Genoa
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Venezia
3–2
W
2 Sep
@ Sassuolo
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Fiorentina
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Napoli and Frosinone.
Our pick is Napoli to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Napoli vs Frosinone?
On our numbers Napoli have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Frosinone 14%.
How many goals will there be in Napoli vs Frosinone?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Napoli vs Frosinone?
Our predicted score is Napoli 1–0 Frosinone, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Napoli vs Frosinone?
Napoli vs Frosinone (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Maradona Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
