Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultAtalanta to win ✗59% · @1.75
Double chanceAtalanta or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Atalanta vs Frosinone: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Sunday 25 October: Atalanta v Frosinone in the Serie A, played at New Balance Arena. In the table, Atalanta are 12th, lower half, on 14 points after 11 matches; Frosinone are 6th (upper half) with 20.
Current form
Atalanta, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Ajax, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Frosinone, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Sassuolo, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Frosinone, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Atalanta.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atalanta 2.0 xG, Frosinone 1.1 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atalanta 59%, draw 22%, Frosinone 20%.
Lower-risk option: Atalanta or draw (80%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.40.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Atalanta or draw (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atalanta 1–1 Frosinone. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atalanta59%fair 1.70 · @1.75
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.90
Frosinone20%fair 5.09 · @3.80
3.07Expected goals
2.00Atalanta xG
1.07Frosinone xG
65%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Atalanta 2.0 – 1.1 Frosinone expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atalanta to win✗
59%
1.70
1.75
Double chance
Atalanta or draw✓
80%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.53
1.40
Draw no bet
Atalanta (draw no bet)
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Frosinone +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
80%
1.24
–
First team to score
Atalanta to score first
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Atalanta ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atalanta / FT Atalanta✗
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.07
–
Recent results
Atalanta – last 6
LLWWLL
22 Oct
@ Ajax
0–2
L
18 Oct
@ AC Milan
2–3
L
15 Oct
vs Pafos
3–1
W
12 Oct
vs Venezia
3–1
W
20 Sep
@ Juventus
0–2
L
12 Sep
vs Cagliari
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Frosinone – last 6
WLWWDW
16 Oct
vs Sassuolo
4–2
W
10 Oct
@ Napoli
0–3
L
2 Oct
vs Benevento
2–1
W
20 Sep
vs Como
2–0
W
12 Sep
@ Genoa
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Venezia
3–2
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atalanta and Frosinone.
Our pick is Atalanta or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Atalanta vs Frosinone?
On our numbers Atalanta have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Frosinone 20%.
How many goals will there be in Atalanta vs Frosinone?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atalanta vs Frosinone?
Our predicted score is Atalanta 1–1 Frosinone, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Atalanta vs Frosinone?
Atalanta vs Frosinone (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at New Balance Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
