Inter vs Fiorentina: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 25 October the Serie A brings Inter against Fiorentina at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza. Kick-off: 12:30 WAT. In the table, Inter are 2nd, among the top four, on 28 points after 11 matches; Fiorentina are 15th (lower half) with 9. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Inter, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Shakhtar Donetsk, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game.
Fiorentina, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Como, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Inter, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Fiorentina.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Inter 2.8 xG, Fiorentina 1.1 xG – a total near 3.9. That is an open game on paper: 75% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Inter 69%, draw 21%, Fiorentina 9%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Inter to win (69%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Inter 2–1 Fiorentina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Inter69%fair 1.45 · @1.33
Draw21%fair 4.65 · @5.00
Fiorentina9%fair 10.66 · @7.50
3.93Expected goals
2.81Inter xG
1.12Fiorentina xG
64%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–18%
2–08%
3–07%
1–16%
4–16%
From our goals model: Inter 2.8 – 1.1 Fiorentina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Inter to win✓
69%
1.45
1.33
Double chance
Inter or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.65 ▲
Draw no bet
Inter (draw no bet)✓
88%
1.14
–
Asian handicap
Inter -1 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
First team to score
Inter to score first
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Inter ahead at half-time✗
55%
1.83
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Inter / FT Inter✗
50%
2.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
11.50
–
Recent results
Inter – last 6
WWLWDW
21 Oct
vs Shakhtar Donetsk
1–0
W
17 Oct
@ Bologna
3–1
W
13 Oct
vs Club Brugge KV
3–4
L
10 Oct
vs Parma
3–0
W
19 Sep
@ AS Roma
2–2
D
14 Sep
vs Udinese
5–3
W
2.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Fiorentina – last 6
LLDWWL
18 Oct
vs Como
1–3
L
10 Oct
@ Genoa
1–2
L
20 Sep
vs Napoli
1–1
D
15 Sep
vs Pisa
3–0
W
11 Sep
@ Venezia
4–2
W
5 Sep
vs Torino
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Inter and Fiorentina.
Our pick is Inter to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Inter vs Fiorentina?
On our numbers Inter have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Fiorentina 9%.
How many goals will there be in Inter vs Fiorentina?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Inter vs Fiorentina?
Our predicted score is Inter 2–1 Fiorentina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Inter vs Fiorentina?
Inter vs Fiorentina (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
