Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
2
Value bet: Venezia to win @ 3.50 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGenoa to win ✓45% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.93
Genoa vs Venezia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Sunday 25 October: Genoa v Venezia in the Serie A, played at Luigi Ferraris. In the table, Genoa are 13th, lower half, on 13 points after 11 matches; Venezia are 19th (in the drop zone) with 6.
Current form
Genoa, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to AS Roma, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Venezia, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Napoli, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Genoa, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Venezia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Genoa 1.6 xG, Venezia 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Genoa 45%, draw 23%, Venezia 32%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Venezia to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.65, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Genoa 1–1 Venezia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Genoa45%fair 2.22 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.10
Venezia32%fair 3.16 · @3.50
2.86Expected goals
1.58Genoa xG
1.28Venezia xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–27%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Genoa 1.6 – 1.3 Venezia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Genoa to win✓
45%
2.22
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.75 ▲
Draw no bet
Genoa (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Venezia +1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Genoa to score first✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Genoa / FT Genoa✓
27%
3.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.93
–
Recent results
Genoa – last 6
LWLLWD
17 Oct
@ AS Roma
0–2
L
10 Oct
vs Fiorentina
2–1
W
2 Oct
@ Rapid
0–2
L
20 Sep
@ Parma
1–2
L
15 Sep
vs Sudtirol
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs Frosinone
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Venezia – last 6
WLLLLL
17 Oct
vs Napoli
1–0
W
12 Oct
@ Atalanta
1–3
L
19 Sep
vs Lazio
0–2
L
11 Sep
vs Fiorentina
2–4
L
6 Sep
@ Frosinone
2–3
L
2 Sep
@ Udinese
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Genoa and Venezia.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Genoa vs Venezia?
On our numbers Genoa have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Venezia 32%.
How many goals will there be in Genoa vs Venezia?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Genoa vs Venezia?
Our predicted score is Genoa 1–1 Venezia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Genoa vs Venezia?
Genoa vs Venezia (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Luigi Ferraris.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
