Como 65%Draw 22%Sassuolo 13%Expected goals 2.26 – 0.95
65%
Betarazi pick
Como to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultComo to win ✓65% · @1.44
Double chanceComo or draw ✓87% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.21
Como vs Sassuolo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sassuolo travel to face Como on Saturday 24 October in the Serie A, with Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Como are 5th, upper half, on 23 points after 11 matches; Sassuolo are 17th (lower half) with 8. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Como, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Manchester United, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Sassuolo, last 5: LDLWD Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Frosinone, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Como, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Sassuolo.
Head to head
When they last met (17 Apr 2026) it ended Sassuolo 2–1 Como.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Como 2.3 xG, Sassuolo 1.0 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Como 65%, draw 22%, Sassuolo 13%.
Lower-risk option: Como or draw (87%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Como to win (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Como 2–0 Sassuolo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Como65%fair 1.53 · @1.44
Draw22%fair 4.64 · @4.33
Sassuolo13%fair 7.62 · @5.80
3.21Expected goals
2.26Como xG
0.95Sassuolo xG
59%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Como 2.3 – 1.0 Sassuolo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Como to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Como vs Sassuolo?
On our numbers Como have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sassuolo 13%.
How many goals will there be in Como vs Sassuolo?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Como vs Sassuolo?
Our predicted score is Como 2–0 Sassuolo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Como vs Sassuolo?
Como vs Sassuolo (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
