Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLazio to win ✓63% · @1.40
Double chanceLazio or draw ✓82% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.61
Lazio vs Parma: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Saturday 24 October: Lazio v Parma in the Serie A, played at Stadio Olimpico. In the table, Lazio are 1st, leading the league, on 29 points after 11 matches; Parma are 16th (lower half) with 8. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Lazio, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Juventus, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Parma, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Torino, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Lazio, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.7 for Parma.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lazio 1.8 xG, Parma 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lazio 63%, draw 19%, Parma 18%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Lazio to win (63%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lazio 1–0 Parma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lazio63%fair 1.58 · @1.40
Draw19%fair 5.30 · @4.40
Parma18%fair 5.66 · @7.50
2.50Expected goals
1.75Lazio xG
0.75Parma xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Lazio 1.8 – 0.7 Parma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lazio to win✓
63%
1.58
1.40
Double chance
Lazio or draw✓
82%
1.21
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Lazio (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Lazio -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Lazio to score first
64%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Lazio ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lazio / FT Lazio✗
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.61
–
Recent results
Lazio – last 6
WWDWDW
18 Oct
@ Juventus
3–0
W
11 Oct
vs Monza
3–1
W
3 Oct
vs Juve Stabia
3–3
D
19 Sep
@ Venezia
2–0
W
12 Sep
vs AC Milan
2–2
D
7 Sep
@ Udinese
2–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Parma – last 6
LLWLDL
19 Oct
vs Torino
0–3
L
10 Oct
@ Inter
0–3
L
20 Sep
vs Genoa
2–1
W
14 Sep
@ Como
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Monza
1–1
D
1 Sep
vs Cremonese
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lazio and Parma.
Our pick is Lazio to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Lazio vs Parma?
On our numbers Lazio have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Parma 18%.
How many goals will there be in Lazio vs Parma?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lazio vs Parma?
Our predicted score is Lazio 1–0 Parma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Lazio vs Parma?
Lazio vs Parma (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Olimpico.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
