Napoli 38%Draw 23%AS Roma 40%Expected goals 1.27 – 1.30
60%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultAS Roma to win ✗40% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.13
Napoli vs AS Roma: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Napoli welcome AS Roma to Stadio Diego Armando Maradona for a Serie A fixture on Saturday 24 October (17:00 WAT). In the table, Napoli are 10th, upper half, on 15 points after 11 matches; AS Roma are 3rd (among the top four) with 27. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Napoli, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 4–3 win over BodoGlimt, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
AS Roma, last 5: WWLDD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Slovan Bratislava, at home. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Feb 2026) it ended Napoli 2–2 AS Roma.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Napoli 1.3 xG, AS Roma 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Napoli 38%, draw 23%, AS Roma 40%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Napoli 1–1 AS Roma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Napoli38%fair 2.65 · @2.75
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.25
AS Roma40%fair 2.53 · @2.45
2.57Expected goals
1.27Napoli xG
1.30AS Roma xG
60%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Napoli 1.3 – 1.3 AS Roma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Napoli vs AS Roma?
On our numbers Napoli have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and AS Roma 40%.
How many goals will there be in Napoli vs AS Roma?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Napoli vs AS Roma?
Our predicted score is Napoli 1–1 AS Roma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Napoli vs AS Roma?
Napoli vs AS Roma (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
