Value bet: Napoli to win @ 3.10 – our chance 37% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultJuventus to win ✓40% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.77
Juventus vs Napoli: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 1 November the Serie A brings Juventus against Napoli at Allianz Stadium. Kick-off: 20:45 WAT. In the table, Juventus are 7th, upper half, on 18 points after 11 matches; Napoli are 10th (upper half) with 15. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Juventus, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Genoa, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Napoli, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Monza, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Juventus 1.4 xG, Napoli 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Juventus 40%, draw 23%, Napoli 37%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Napoli to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Juventus 1–1 Napoli. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Juventus40%fair 2.49 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.20
Napoli37%fair 2.70 · @3.10
2.72Expected goals
1.40Juventus xG
1.32Napoli xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Juventus 1.4 – 1.3 Napoli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Juventus to win✓
40%
2.49
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
1.75
Draw no bet
Juventus (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Napoli +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Juventus to score first✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Juventus / FT Juventus✗
23%
4.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.77
–
Recent results
Juventus – last 6
LWDLWD
28 Oct
@ Genoa
0–2
L
25 Oct
@ Lecce
2–0
W
22 Oct
vs Rennes
2–2
D
18 Oct
vs Lazio
0–3
L
15 Oct
@ Celta Vigo
2–1
W
11 Oct
@ Cagliari
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Napoli – last 6
WDWLLW
28 Oct
@ Monza
4–1
W
24 Oct
vs AS Roma
3–3
D
20 Oct
vs BodoGlimt
4–3
W
17 Oct
@ Venezia
0–1
L
13 Oct
@ Villarreal
1–3
L
10 Oct
vs Frosinone
3–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Juventus and Napoli.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Juventus vs Napoli?
On our numbers Juventus have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Napoli 37%.
How many goals will there be in Juventus vs Napoli?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Juventus vs Napoli?
Our predicted score is Juventus 1–1 Napoli, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Juventus vs Napoli?
Juventus vs Napoli (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Allianz Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
