Lazio vs Cagliari: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Sunday 1 November: Lazio v Cagliari in the Serie A, played at Stadio Olimpico. In the table, Lazio are 1st, leading the league, on 29 points after 11 matches; Cagliari are 9th (upper half) with 16. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Lazio, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 6–2 win over Sassuolo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.2 goals per game.
Cagliari, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to AS Roma, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Lazio, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.2 for Cagliari.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lazio 2.1 xG, Cagliari 0.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lazio 70%, draw 18%, Cagliari 11%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Lazio to win (70%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lazio 2–0 Cagliari. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lazio70%fair 1.42 · @1.44
Draw18%fair 5.49 · @4.20
Cagliari11%fair 8.71 · @7.00
2.78Expected goals
2.09Lazio xG
0.69Cagliari xG
54%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–014%
1–013%
3–09%
2–19%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Lazio 2.1 – 0.7 Cagliari expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lazio to win✓
70%
1.42
1.44
Double chance
Lazio or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.87
1.95
Draw no bet
Lazio (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.16
–
Asian handicap
Lazio -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Lazio to score first
71%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Lazio ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lazio / FT Lazio✗
46%
2.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.69
–
Recent results
Lazio – last 6
WWWWDW
27 Oct
@ Sassuolo
6–2
W
24 Oct
vs Parma
2–1
W
18 Oct
@ Juventus
3–0
W
11 Oct
vs Monza
3–1
W
3 Oct
vs Juve Stabia
3–3
D
19 Sep
@ Venezia
2–0
W
3.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Cagliari – last 6
LLLDWW
27 Oct
@ AS Roma
2–4
L
24 Oct
vs Bologna
0–2
L
19 Oct
@ Monza
0–4
L
11 Oct
vs Juventus
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Udinese
1–0
W
12 Sep
@ Atalanta
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lazio and Cagliari.
Our pick is Lazio to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Lazio vs Cagliari?
On our numbers Lazio have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Cagliari 11%.
How many goals will there be in Lazio vs Cagliari?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lazio vs Cagliari?
Our predicted score is Lazio 2–0 Cagliari, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Lazio vs Cagliari?
Lazio vs Cagliari (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Olimpico.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
