Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.95Odds
Picks by market
ResultGenoa to win ✓45% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 10.94
Lecce vs Genoa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Genoa travel to face Lecce on Sunday 1 November in the Serie A, with Stadio Via del Mare the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Lecce are 14th, lower half, on 10 points after 11 matches; Genoa are 13th (lower half) with 13. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Lecce, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Frosinone, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Genoa, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Juventus, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Genoa, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Lecce.
Head to head
When they last met (24 May 2026) it ended Lecce 1–0 Genoa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lecce 1.2 xG, Genoa 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lecce 31%, draw 24%, Genoa 45%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.71, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lecce 1–1 Genoa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lecce31%fair 3.24 · @3.25
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.00
Genoa45%fair 2.23 · @2.25
2.78Expected goals
1.24Lecce xG
1.54Genoa xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Lecce 1.2 – 1.5 Genoa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Lecce vs Genoa?
On our numbers Lecce have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Genoa 45%.
How many goals will there be in Lecce vs Genoa?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lecce vs Genoa?
Our predicted score is Lecce 1–1 Genoa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Lecce vs Genoa?
Lecce vs Genoa (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Via del Mare.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
