AS Roma vs Sassuolo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
AS Roma welcome Sassuolo to Stadio Olimpico for a Serie A fixture on Saturday 7 November (20:45 WAT). In the table, AS Roma are 3rd, among the top four, on 27 points after 11 matches; Sassuolo are 17th (lower half) with 8. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
AS Roma, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Manchester United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.3 a game lately.
Sassuolo, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Fiorentina, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 3.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours AS Roma, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.2 for Sassuolo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AS Roma 2.7 xG, Sassuolo 1.1 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 72% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AS Roma 71%, draw 18%, Sassuolo 11%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (72%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: AS Roma 2–1 Sassuolo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AS Roma71%fair 1.41 · @1.30
Draw18%fair 5.43 · @5.75
Sassuolo11%fair 9.27 · @9.00
3.81Expected goals
2.74AS Roma xG
1.07Sassuolo xG
61%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
2–08%
3–18%
3–08%
1–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: AS Roma 2.7 – 1.1 Sassuolo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AS Roma to win✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Double chance
AS Roma or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.67
Draw no bet
AS Roma (draw no bet)✓
87%
1.15
–
Asian handicap
AS Roma -1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
51%
1.94
1.91
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.40
First team to score
AS Roma to score first✓
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
AS Roma ahead at half-time✓
54%
1.84
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AS Roma / FT AS Roma✓
50%
2.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.24
–
Recent results
AS Roma – last 6
LWWDWW
3 Nov
@ Manchester United
2–3
L
31 Oct
@ Udinese
5–2
W
27 Oct
vs Cagliari
4–2
W
24 Oct
@ Napoli
3–3
D
20 Oct
vs Slovan Bratislava
4–0
W
17 Oct
vs Genoa
2–0
W
3.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Sassuolo – last 6
LLLLDL
2 Nov
vs Fiorentina
2–4
L
27 Oct
vs Lazio
2–6
L
24 Oct
@ Como
0–2
L
16 Oct
@ Frosinone
2–4
L
11 Oct
vs AC Milan
1–1
D
18 Sep
@ Monza
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AS Roma and Sassuolo.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win AS Roma vs Sassuolo?
On our numbers AS Roma have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Sassuolo 11%.
How many goals will there be in AS Roma vs Sassuolo?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AS Roma vs Sassuolo?
Our predicted score is AS Roma 2–1 Sassuolo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is AS Roma vs Sassuolo?
AS Roma vs Sassuolo (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Olimpico.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
