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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Torino v Lecce: numbers & prediction

Serie A · Italy · Stadio Olimpico di Torino

Torino

LLWWW
1–1
FT

Lecce

LLLWL
Torino 61%Draw 24%Lecce 15% Expected goals 1.98 – 0.91
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
1

Value bet: Torino to win @ 1.80 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultTorino to win ✗61% · @1.80
Double chanceTorino or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.09

Torino vs Lecce: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 7 November: Torino v Lecce in the Serie A, played at Stadio Olimpico di Torino. In the table, Torino are 11th, lower half, on 14 points after 11 matches; Lecce are 14th (lower half) with 10.

Current form

Torino, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Frosinone, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Lecce, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Genoa, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Torino, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Lecce.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Torino 2.0 xG, Lecce 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Torino 61%, draw 24%, Lecce 15%.
  • Lower-risk option: Torino or draw (85%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.
  • Price worth noting: Torino to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 61%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Torino 2–0 Lecce. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Torino61%fair 1.64 · @1.80
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.60
Lecce15%fair 6.61 · @4.75
2.89Expected goals
1.98Torino xG
0.91Lecce xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–17%

From our goals model: Torino 2.0 – 0.9 Lecce expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTorino to win ✗61%1.641.80 ▲
Double chanceTorino or draw ✓85%1.181.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.751.80
Draw no betTorino (draw no bet)80%1.25–
Asian handicapTorino -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.311.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗53%1.901.91
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.461.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.191.12
First team to scoreTorino to score first65%1.55–
Half-time resultTorino ahead at half-time ✗45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Torino / FT Torino ✗40%2.52–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.09–

Recent results

Torino – last 6

LLWWWD
1 Nov@ Frosinone0–2L
27 Octvs Como1–3L
23 Octvs Monza3–2W
19 Oct@ Parma3–0W
12 Octvs Udinese2–1W
19 Sep@ Bologna1–1D
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Lecce – last 6

LLLWLL
1 Novvs Genoa1–2L
29 Oct@ Frosinone1–5L
25 Octvs Juventus0–2L
18 Oct@ Udinese3–0W
11 Octvs Bologna1–2L
20 Sep@ AC Milan0–3L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Torino and Lecce.

Torino vs Lecce head-to-head page →

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Lazio11920+1629
2Inter11911+1528
3AS Roma11830+2127
4AC Milan11731+1024
5Como11722+823
6Frosinone11623+920
7Juventus11533+318
8Bologna11524+217
9Cagliari11515-516
10Napoli11434+415
11Torino11425-214
12Atalanta11425-314
13Genoa11416-513
14Lecce11317-1010
15Fiorentina11236-89
16Parma11227-88
17Sassuolo11227-138
18Monza11218-87
19Venezia11209-136
20Udinese11128-135

More Serie A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Torino vs Lecce?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Torino vs Lecce?

On our numbers Torino have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lecce 15%.

How many goals will there be in Torino vs Lecce?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Torino vs Lecce?

Our predicted score is Torino 2–0 Lecce, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Torino vs Lecce?

Torino vs Lecce (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Olimpico di Torino.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.