Value bet: Torino to win @ 1.80 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultTorino to win ✗61% · @1.80
Double chanceTorino or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.09
Torino vs Lecce: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 7 November: Torino v Lecce in the Serie A, played at Stadio Olimpico di Torino. In the table, Torino are 11th, lower half, on 14 points after 11 matches; Lecce are 14th (lower half) with 10.
Current form
Torino, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Frosinone, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Lecce, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Genoa, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Torino, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Lecce.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Torino 2.0 xG, Lecce 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Torino 61%, draw 24%, Lecce 15%.
Lower-risk option: Torino or draw (85%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Torino to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Torino 2–0 Lecce. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Torino61%fair 1.64 · @1.80
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.60
Lecce15%fair 6.61 · @4.75
2.89Expected goals
1.98Torino xG
0.91Lecce xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Torino 2.0 – 0.9 Lecce expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Torino to win✗
61%
1.64
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Torino or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.80
Draw no bet
Torino (draw no bet)
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Torino -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.91
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.12
First team to score
Torino to score first
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Torino ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Torino / FT Torino✗
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.09
–
Recent results
Torino – last 6
LLWWWD
1 Nov
@ Frosinone
0–2
L
27 Oct
vs Como
1–3
L
23 Oct
vs Monza
3–2
W
19 Oct
@ Parma
3–0
W
12 Oct
vs Udinese
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ Bologna
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Lecce – last 6
LLLWLL
1 Nov
vs Genoa
1–2
L
29 Oct
@ Frosinone
1–5
L
25 Oct
vs Juventus
0–2
L
18 Oct
@ Udinese
3–0
W
11 Oct
vs Bologna
1–2
L
20 Sep
@ AC Milan
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Torino and Lecce.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Torino vs Lecce?
On our numbers Torino have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lecce 15%.
How many goals will there be in Torino vs Lecce?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Torino vs Lecce?
Our predicted score is Torino 2–0 Lecce, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Torino vs Lecce?
Torino vs Lecce (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Olimpico di Torino.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.