Value bet: Bologna to win @ 1.80 – our chance 62% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBologna to win ✓62% · @1.80
Double chanceBologna or draw ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 10.60
Parma vs Bologna: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 7 November the Serie A brings Parma against Bologna at Stadio Ennio Tardini. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Parma are 16th, lower half, on 8 points after 11 matches; Bologna are 8th (upper half) with 17.
Current form
Parma, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Atalanta, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Bologna, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Monza, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Bologna, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Parma.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Parma 0.8 xG, Bologna 1.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Parma 18%, draw 20%, Bologna 62%.
Lower-risk option: Bologna or draw (82%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Bologna to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Parma 0–1 Bologna. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Parma18%fair 5.64 · @4.50
Draw20%fair 4.98 · @3.60
Bologna62%fair 1.61 · @1.80
2.49Expected goals
0.76Parma xG
1.73Bologna xG
53%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–29%
0–08%
0–37%
From our goals model: Parma 0.8 – 1.7 Bologna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bologna to win✓
62%
1.61
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Bologna or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.95
Draw no bet
Bologna (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Bologna -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.10
First team to score
Bologna to score first
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Bologna ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bologna / FT Bologna✗
38%
2.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
10.60
–
Recent results
Parma – last 6
WDLLLW
2 Nov
@ Atalanta
3–0
W
28 Oct
vs Udinese
0–0
D
24 Oct
@ Lazio
1–2
L
19 Oct
vs Torino
0–3
L
10 Oct
@ Inter
0–3
L
20 Sep
vs Genoa
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Bologna – last 6
WWWLWD
31 Oct
vs Monza
2–1
W
28 Oct
@ AC Milan
4–2
W
24 Oct
@ Cagliari
2–0
W
17 Oct
vs Inter
1–3
L
11 Oct
@ Lecce
2–1
W
19 Sep
vs Torino
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Parma and Bologna.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Parma vs Bologna?
On our numbers Parma have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Bologna 62%.
How many goals will there be in Parma vs Bologna?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Parma vs Bologna?
Our predicted score is Parma 0–1 Bologna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Parma vs Bologna?
Parma vs Bologna (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ennio Tardini.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
