Genoa 15%Draw 24%AC Milan 61%Expected goals 0.80 – 1.82
85%
Betarazi pick
AC Milan or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: AC Milan to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAC Milan to win ✓61% · @1.95
Double chanceAC Milan or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.35
Genoa vs AC Milan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
AC Milan travel to face Genoa on Sunday 8 November in the Serie A, with Stadio Luigi Ferraris the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Genoa are 13th, lower half, on 13 points after 11 matches; AC Milan are 4th (among the top four) with 24.
Current form
Genoa, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Lecce, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
AC Milan, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Ferencvarosi TC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Genoa, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for AC Milan.
Head to head
When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Genoa 1–2 AC Milan.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Genoa 0.8 xG, AC Milan 1.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Genoa 15%, draw 24%, AC Milan 61%.
Lower-risk option: AC Milan or draw (85%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: AC Milan to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was AC Milan or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Genoa 0–1 AC Milan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Genoa15%fair 6.56 · @3.90
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.40
AC Milan61%fair 1.65 · @1.95
2.63Expected goals
0.80Genoa xG
1.82AC Milan xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
0–212%
1–111%
1–210%
0–37%
0–07%
From our goals model: Genoa 0.8 – 1.8 AC Milan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is AC Milan or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Genoa vs AC Milan?
On our numbers Genoa have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 24% and AC Milan 61%.
How many goals will there be in Genoa vs AC Milan?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Genoa vs AC Milan?
Our predicted score is Genoa 0–1 AC Milan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Genoa vs AC Milan?
Genoa vs AC Milan (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Luigi Ferraris.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
