Napoli 38%Draw 21%Lazio 41%Expected goals 1.50 – 1.57
65%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Lazio to win @ 2.90 – our chance 41% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLazio to win ✗41% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.66
Napoli vs Lazio: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Napoli welcome Lazio to Stadio Diego Armando Maradona for a Serie A fixture on Sunday 8 November (12:30 WAT). In the table, Napoli are 10th, upper half, on 15 points after 11 matches; Lazio are 1st (leading the league) with 29. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Napoli, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to FC Porto, away. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Lazio, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Cagliari, at home. The attack is flying at 3.2 goals per game.
Momentum favours Lazio, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.2 for Napoli.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Napoli 1.5 xG, Lazio 1.6 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Napoli 38%, draw 21%, Lazio 41%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Lazio to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Napoli 1–1 Lazio. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Napoli38%fair 2.62 · @2.25
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.70
Lazio41%fair 2.44 · @2.90
3.07Expected goals
1.50Napoli xG
1.57Lazio xG
65%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Napoli 1.5 – 1.6 Lazio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lazio to win✗
41%
2.44
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.53
1.50
Draw no bet
Lazio (draw no bet)
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Napoli +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.57
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.22
First team to score
Lazio to score first✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lazio / FT Lazio✗
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.66
–
Recent results
Napoli – last 6
LLWDWL
4 Nov
@ FC Porto
1–4
L
1 Nov
@ Juventus
0–2
L
28 Oct
@ Monza
4–1
W
24 Oct
vs AS Roma
3–3
D
20 Oct
vs BodoGlimt
4–3
W
17 Oct
@ Venezia
0–1
L
2.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Lazio – last 6
WWWWWD
1 Nov
vs Cagliari
2–1
W
27 Oct
@ Sassuolo
6–2
W
24 Oct
vs Parma
2–1
W
18 Oct
@ Juventus
3–0
W
11 Oct
vs Monza
3–1
W
3 Oct
vs Juve Stabia
3–3
D
3.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Napoli and Lazio.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Napoli vs Lazio?
On our numbers Napoli have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lazio 41%.
How many goals will there be in Napoli vs Lazio?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Napoli vs Lazio?
Our predicted score is Napoli 1–1 Lazio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Napoli vs Lazio?
Napoli vs Lazio (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
