Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Atalanta to win @ 1.95 – our chance 63% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAtalanta to win ✓63% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗85% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.57
Monza vs Atalanta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atalanta travel to face Monza on Sunday 8 November in the Serie A – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Monza are 18th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 11 matches; Atalanta are 12th (lower half) with 14.
Current form
Monza, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Bologna, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Atalanta, last 5: DLDDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Kairat Almaty, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Monza 1.3 xG, Atalanta 2.3 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Monza 23%, draw 15%, Atalanta 63%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Atalanta to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Monza 1–2 Atalanta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Monza23%fair 4.37 · @3.60
Draw15%fair 6.88 · @3.80
Atalanta63%fair 1.60 · @1.95
3.56Expected goals
1.28Monza xG
2.29Atalanta xG
64%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–18%
0–27%
1–37%
0–16%
2–26%
From our goals model: Monza 1.3 – 2.3 Atalanta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atalanta to win✓
63%
1.60
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
85%
1.17
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.57
1.44
Draw no bet
Atalanta (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Atalanta -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.87
1.73
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
First team to score
Atalanta to score first✓
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Atalanta ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atalanta / FT Atalanta✗
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.57
–
Recent results
Monza – last 6
LLLWLD
31 Oct
@ Bologna
1–2
L
28 Oct
vs Napoli
1–4
L
23 Oct
@ Torino
2–3
L
19 Oct
vs Cagliari
4–0
W
11 Oct
@ Lazio
1–3
L
3 Oct
@ Stade Brestois 29
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Atalanta – last 6
DLDDLL
5 Nov
vs Kairat Almaty
1–1
D
2 Nov
vs Parma
0–3
L
29 Oct
@ Fiorentina
2–2
D
25 Oct
vs Frosinone
4–4
D
22 Oct
@ Ajax
0–2
L
18 Oct
@ AC Milan
2–3
L
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Monza and Atalanta.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Monza vs Atalanta?
On our numbers Monza have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Atalanta 63%.
How many goals will there be in Monza vs Atalanta?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monza vs Atalanta?
Our predicted score is Monza 1–2 Atalanta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Monza vs Atalanta?
Monza vs Atalanta (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
