Como 66%Draw 21%Cagliari 13%Expected goals 1.84 – 0.72
68%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.53
7/10Rating
1.53Odds
NG
Value bet: Not both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultComo to win66% · @1.33
Double chanceComo or draw87% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score56% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals77% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–08% · fair 12.46
Como vs Cagliari: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cagliari travel to face Como on Saturday 21 November in the Serie A, with Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Como are 5th, upper half, on 23 points after 11 matches; Cagliari are 9th (upper half) with 16.
Current form
Como, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Inter, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.2 goals per game.
Cagliari, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Frosinone, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Como, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.7 for Cagliari.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Como 1.8 xG, Cagliari 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 44%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Como 66%, draw 21%, Cagliari 13%.
GG/NG: NG (56%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Not both teams to score @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.
Betarazi verdict
The Betarazi pick is Under 3.5 goals (68%, odds 1.53 – longer than our fair 1.46, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Como 1–0 Cagliari. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Como66%fair 1.52 · @1.33
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @4.75
Cagliari13%fair 7.89 · @8.50
2.56Expected goals
1.84Como xG
0.72Cagliari xG
44%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Como 1.8 – 0.7 Cagliari expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Como
Cagliari
Attack vs Serie A average
+8%
-26%
Goals conceded vs average
-36%
-7%
Our expected goals here
1.56
0.68
Our own ratings from every Serie A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Como to win
66%
1.52
1.33
Double chance
Como or draw
87%
1.15
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
56%
1.79
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Como (draw no bet)
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Como -0.5 (Asian handicap)
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
77%
1.30
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
54%
1.86
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
68%
1.46
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
83%
1.20
1.22
First team to score
Como to score first
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Como ahead at half-time
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Como / FT Como
41%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0
8%
12.46
–
Recent results
Como – last 6
LWWWWW
8 Nov
@ Inter
0–2
L
4 Nov
@ Lens
9–1
W
1 Nov
vs Venezia
1–0
W
27 Oct
@ Torino
3–1
W
24 Oct
vs Sassuolo
2–0
W
21 Oct
vs Manchester United
4–1
W
3.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cagliari – last 6
WLLLLD
7 Nov
vs Frosinone
1–0
W
1 Nov
@ Lazio
1–2
L
27 Oct
@ AS Roma
2–4
L
24 Oct
vs Bologna
0–2
L
19 Oct
@ Monza
0–4
L
11 Oct
vs Juventus
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Como and Cagliari.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Como vs Cagliari?
On our numbers Como have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cagliari 13%.
How many goals will there be in Como vs Cagliari?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Como vs Cagliari?
Our predicted score is Como 1–0 Cagliari, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Como vs Cagliari?
Como vs Cagliari (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
